Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin,Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin,
Learn/Trading Guide/Futures/What Are Pr...on Futures?

What Are Prediction Futures?

Dec 15, 2025MEXC
0m
#Basic#Futures#Beginners
Core DAO
CORE$0.1326-7.40%
RISE
RISE$0.005392-3.66%
Movement
MOVE$0.0329-9.61%
Believe
BELIEVE$0.010571-11.30%
Index Cooperative
INDEX$0.507-8.64%


Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin, leverage, and liquidation prices often discourage many beginners. To lower the entry barrier, MEXC has introduced Prediction Futures. This feature removes the complexity of traditional futures and brings trading back to its core principle: deciding whether the market will rise or fall.


1. What Are Prediction Futures?


1.1 What Are Prediction Futures?


Prediction Futures allow traders to forecast whether the price of a cryptocurrency will move Up or Down within a set timeframe. Each Futures position represents a trader's prediction of the price direction. If the prediction is correct, the trader earns a payout. If the prediction is incorrect, the trader's loss is limited to the USDT amount placed on that Futures position.

1.2 Core Elements of Prediction Futures


  • Profit: The potential earnings from a Prediction Futures position.
  • Quantity: The USDT amount you invest, which also represents your maximum possible loss.
  • Up: Choosing Up means you believe the index price will be higher at settlement.
  • Down: Choosing Down means you believe the index price will be lower at settlement.
  • Settlement Amount = Principal + Profit
  • Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

2. How to Use Prediction Futures on MEXC


Log in to your MEXC account and go to the Prediction Futures trading page. Select the trading pair you want, such as BTCUSDT. Choose the expiration time unit (options include 3 minutes, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, or 1 day). Enter the Order Quantity, then select whether you expect the price to move Up or Down at expiry. Finally, click Confirm to submit your trade.




3. Prediction Futures FAQs


3.1 How is the payout for Prediction Futures calculated?


If your prediction is correct, you will receive a settlement amount at the expiry of the futures.
  • Settlement Amount = Principal + Profit
  • Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

If your prediction is incorrect, the futures will expire and you will not receive any settlement amount. The principal paid for that futures will be considered your loss and will be counted toward the daily loss limit.

If the result is neither higher nor lower than the entry price (that is, the index price at expiry is equal to the strike price), you will receive a settlement amount equal to the principal you invested. In this case, there is no profit or loss.

The settlement amount for each futures is based on the principal paid and the payout applicable at the time of submission.

Example: Suppose the current payout rate is 87%, and you invest 10 USDT to predict the future price of BTC:
  • If your prediction is correct, you will receive 18.7 USDT in total, which includes 8.7 USDT as profit.
  • If your prediction is incorrect, you will lose your 10 USDT principal.
  • If the result is a draw, you will get back your 10 USDT invested principal without any profit or loss.

Note: Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

3.2 How is the payout calculated?


The payout is internally calculated based on the asset's volatility and market risk at a given time and may fluctuate. The payout is determined at the time of the trade and remains fixed for that specific trade. You can view the current up and down payout values directly in the trading area.

As shown in the figure below, the current payout is 82%. If you invest 5 USDT in a prediction and your prediction is correct, you will receive a settlement amount of 9.1 USDT, of which 4.1 USDT is your profit.


3.3 Are there any trading limits?


  • Daily Loss Limit: Each trader has a maximum daily loss limit of 10,000 USDT, which includes potential losses from open orders. This limit is automatically enforced by the platform, and you cannot submit an order that would cause losses beyond the daily cap. For the purpose of the daily loss limit, the principal paid for any open Prediction Futures is counted as potential loss.
  • Open Prediction Futures Limit: You can maintain a maximum of 5 open Prediction Futures at any given time.
  • Daily Trade Limit: 100 transactions.
  • Price Limit: Each individual Prediction Future is also subject to a price limit to reduce potential financial risk. The applicable price limit is displayed on the platform.

MEXC reserves the right to adjust the daily loss limit, unexpired Prediction Futures limit, and/or price limits at any time. Any changes will not affect existing open Prediction Futures and will not be announced separately.

3.4 Can I close a Prediction Futures order before it expires?


No. Prediction Futures cannot be closed before expiration. Once an order is submitted, the trade will remain open until it expires.

3.5 How is the settlement value determined?


The settlement value is automatically determined based on the price index of the underlying asset at the time the Prediction Future expires.

3.6 How are Prediction Futures settled?


All Prediction Futures are settled in USDT. If your prediction is correct, the USDT payout will be credited directly to your Futures Account. If your prediction is incorrect, the loss upon expiration will be the margin you paid for the Prediction Future, which will also count toward your daily loss limit (as described above).

3.7 Do Prediction Futures support API trading?


Prediction Futures currently do not support API trading.

4. Comparison Between MEXC Prediction Futures and Traditional Perpetual Futures


To better understand the role of MEXC Prediction Futures, we provide a full comparison with MEXC's traditional USDT-M Futures.
Item
MEXC Prediction Futures
MEXC Traditional Perpetual Futures
Trading Complexity
Very low, it only requires predicting direction
High, requires managing leverage, margin, and positions
Core Risk
Fixed, maximum loss limited to investment amount
Variable, subject to liquidation (margin call risk)
Leverage/Margin
No need to set leverage or margin
Trader must select leverage and margin mode
Holding Period
Fixed and very short (e.g., 60 seconds)
Flexible, can be held indefinitely (perpetual)
Profit Calculation
Fixed return, known in advance
Floating PNL, depends on price movement and leverage
Target Users
Beginners and traders seeking simplicity
Experienced professional traders

4.1 Scenario Analysis: When to Use MEXC Prediction Futures


  • Beginner-Friendly Entry Point: If you are interested in futures trading but find the complexity intimidating, Prediction Futures serve as an ideal first step. They allow you to experience the core aspect of trading, predicting market direction, within a clearly defined and controllable risk framework.
  • Quick Market Plays: When the market shows clear short-term momentum, such as around the release of major economic data, Prediction Futures allows for rapid speculation without the need to establish and manage a complex perpetual position.
  • Trading in Short Timeframes: With ultra-short holding periods, trades can be completed within fragmented periods of free time, offering high flexibility for users who cannot continuously monitor the market.


5. Risk Warning and Disclaimer


By using the MEXC Prediction Futures product, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agreed to the Prediction Futures Risk Disclosure and Disclaimer.

Trading digital assets and related products such as Prediction Futures involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses to your positions. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should consult an independent advisor if necessary. Past performance of digital assets and related products does not guarantee future results. Only invest amounts you are prepared to lose.


Disclaimer: This material does not constitute advice on investments, taxes, legal matters, finance, accounting, consulting, or any other related services, nor is it a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any assets. MEXC Learn provides information for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and invest cautiously. All investment decisions and outcomes are the sole responsibility of the user.

Popular Articles

Balancing Security and Accuracy: Dynamic Logic of Risk Control Systems

Balancing Security and Accuracy: Dynamic Logic of Risk Control Systems

As crypto markets evolve, so do the tactics used by fraudsters and market manipulators. To keep users safe and preserve market integrity, crypto exchanges must constantly enhance their risk control an

How to Verify My Residential Address on MEXC

How to Verify My Residential Address on MEXC

Providing proof of address (POA) is part of MEXC's KYC verification process. After registering a MEXC account, you must upload a POA document to complete identity verification and ensure compliance wi

Dogecoin All-Time High: When It Happened and What Drove the Surge

Dogecoin All-Time High: When It Happened and What Drove the Surge

Key TakeawaysDogecoin’s all-time high (ATH) occurred on May 8, 2021, when the price reached approximately $0.74.The surge was primarily driven by a combination of Elon Musk’s repeated tweets and endor

Dogecoin Marketcap Explained: What It Means and How It Shapes DOGE’s Value

Dogecoin Marketcap Explained: What It Means and How It Shapes DOGE’s Value

Key TakeawaysMarket capitalization (market cap) measures the total dollar value of Dogecoin (DOGE), calculated as current price × circulating supply.As of December 2025, Dogecoin’s market cap stands a

Hot Crypto Updates

XRP Price Faces Critical Test: Analysts Warn of Potential Drop Below $1

XRP Price Faces Critical Test: Analysts Warn of Potential Drop Below $1

Key Takeaways XRP displays clear bearish signals below $2 markMultiple technical indicators suggest XRP could fall to $1 in coming weeksMarket volatility intensifies, investors need to monitor key sup

Solana Price Defense: Can SOL Hold the Critical $120 Support Level?

Solana Price Defense: Can SOL Hold the Critical $120 Support Level?

Key Takeaways Solana (SOL) is fiercely battling around the crucial $120 support level with cautious market sentimentTechnical indicators show downward pressure on SOL, but long-term fundamentals remai

Ethereum Price Alert: ETH Could Plunge to $2,000 If December Closes Below Critical Support Level

Ethereum Price Alert: ETH Could Plunge to $2,000 If December Closes Below Critical Support Level

Key Takeaways Analyst warns: Ethereum risks significant downside to $2,000 if December closing price falls below the critical $3,200 support levelTechnical indicators show ETH at a crucial inflection

Bitcoin Price Hovers at $86,500: Market Anticipation Before US CPI Release and Strategic Trading Insights

Bitcoin Price Hovers at $86,500: Market Anticipation Before US CPI Release and Strategic Trading Insights

Key Takeaways Bitcoin price remains range-bound near $86,500 as markets await critical US inflation dataDecember CPI figures will significantly influence Federal Reserve policy and cryptocurrency mark

Trending News

Web3 Crypto Casinos 2026: Platforms Combining Security and Fair Odds

Web3 Crypto Casinos 2026: Platforms Combining Security and Fair Odds

Discover Web3 crypto casinos in 2026 that combine blockchain security and fair odds. Review trusted cryptocurrency online casinos built for transparency and control

Your Essential Guide To This Exciting New Trading Opportunity

Your Essential Guide To This Exciting New Trading Opportunity

The post Your Essential Guide To This Exciting New Trading Opportunity appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bybit VOOI Listing: Your Essential Guide To This Exciting

Yann LeCun to Launch Advanced Machine Intelligence Labs in 2026

Yann LeCun to Launch Advanced Machine Intelligence Labs in 2026

The post Yann LeCun to Launch Advanced Machine Intelligence Labs in 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Yann LeCun plans to launch Advanced Machine

The Case for Real-Asset-Backed Cryptos

The Case for Real-Asset-Backed Cryptos

The post The Case for Real-Asset-Backed Cryptos appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Advertisement &nbsp &nbsp Disclaimer: The below article is sponsored, and

Related Articles

Calculation of Futures Yield and Trading Fees

Calculation of Futures Yield and Trading Fees

When trading futures on MEXC or other major exchanges, your trading PNL is based on three components:Trading Fees: The cost incurred during the transaction.Funding Fees: Periodic settlements based on

MEXC Fees Explained: Complete Trading, Futures & Withdrawal Fees Guide

MEXC Fees Explained: Complete Trading, Futures & Withdrawal Fees Guide

Whether you are an experienced cryptocurrency trader or just getting started, understanding trading fees is essential to navigating the market and improving your trading experience. MEXC, a leading gl

How to Use Demo Trading on MEXC Futures

How to Use Demo Trading on MEXC Futures

In cryptocurrency futures trading, developing skills and strategies often comes at the cost of real capital. Many beginners enter the live market without sufficient preparation and face significant lo

What Is Liquidation? A Complete Guide to Its Mechanism, Price Calculation, and Risk Management

What Is Liquidation? A Complete Guide to Its Mechanism, Price Calculation, and Risk Management

1. What Is Liquidation (Margin Call)? When Does It Most Often Occur?Liquidation (also called "margin call") happens when an account's maintenance margin rate falls below the platform's require

Sign Up on MEXC
Sign Up & Receive Up to 10,000 USDT Bonus