Crypto Pulse—Bitcoin

Overview A trade that reliably paid more than 20% a year during the 2021 bull market now yields less than a US Treasury note. According to CoinDesk's August 3 report citing Glassnode, the three-month bitcoin futures basis has paid less than the two-year Treasury yield since February 2026, a stretch that had run 157 days at the time of writing. The only comparable run on record, August 2022 into January 2023, ended at the cycle low. The reason this matters beyond the arbitrage desks is that the b

Overview Exchanges are holding less bitcoin than at almost any point in the past three years, and the price has not rewarded it. CryptoQuant's exchange reserve reading puts total BTC held across exchanges at roughly 2.68 million coins, the lowest on that chart since at least September 2023. Against a circulating supply just above 20 million, that leaves only about 13% of all bitcoin sitting where it can be sold into an order book on short notice. The tape disagreed. According to Yahoo Finance's

Overview Bitcoin traded near $82,504 in the early hours of October 9, down about 0.21% on the day according to CoinDesk's live price page, after dipping below $81,000 and recovering above $82,000. The same page notes that US spot bitcoin ETFs just posted their largest daily outflow since June, roughly $485 million. In a tape that chops like this, what determines the outcome of a position is not the target price some analyst published. It is where real bids and real offers sit. Key levels deserve

Overview Public companies now hold 1,278,917 BTC across 199 names, equal to 6.09% of the 21 million supply and worth roughly $104.6 billion at the $81,798 price used on the Bitcoin Treasuries dashboard. CoinGecko's price page shows bitcoin near $82,502 on October 9, down 0.70% on the day. Aggregate holdings sit at a record, but the financing logic that built those balance sheets changed direction in 2026. The ranking is no longer the interesting part. Strategy has sold bitcoin several times this

Overview Bitcoin reclaimed the $86,000 level on October 5. According to Yahoo Finance's price report that day, BTC traded near $86,121, up 2.4% on the week and 8.6% over the month, yet still 29.3% lower year over year. The same report confirms bitcoin's record high of $126,198.07, set on October 6, 2025. The price has rebounded hard from its 2026 low and remains roughly a third below its peak. That combination is exactly when the question shifts from where the next target sits to how much downsi

Overview Roughly twenty-nine months after the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin has not followed the script that a decade of cycle analysis taught traders to expect. Bitcoin trades near $86,700 according to CoinGecko market data, about 31% below the $126,080 all-time high set in October 2025, with a market capitalization around $1.74 trillion. What has forced a rethink is not the price level but the shape of the move: the top arrived eighteen months after the halving, almost exactly on schedule, yet t

Overview More than two years after US spot bitcoin ETFs began trading, a question that once belonged inside crypto circles has become an ordinary allocation decision: buy the coin, or buy the fund. The two track almost the same price, but what you end up owning is not the same thing at all. The differences concentrate in four places: what it costs to hold, who holds the keys, when you can trade, and what ownership actually entitles you to. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust charges a 0.25% annual

Overview The Federal Reserve lifted its federal funds target range to 3.75% to 4% on September 16, its first increase since July 2023, and the move revived a question that sits awkwardly at the center of crypto markets. Bitcoin has no cash flows, no issuer and no central bank. So why does a single committee meeting in Washington move it at all? The answer is not in the protocol. It is in how dollars are priced. The federal funds rate sets the cost of short-term dollar money, and that cost travel

Overview Markets gave the same question two opposite answers in 2026. Early in the year Bitcoin traded like a high-beta technology stock, breathing in time with the Nasdaq. By late summer its price path had started to track gold instead. The numbers Grayscale head of research Zach Pandl published on August 27 were blunt: Bitcoin's 90-day correlation with gold had climbed above 50% while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 fell from above 60% to roughly 33%. Six months earlier the same firm had a

Overview On September 30, a softer-than-expected August reading of the US personal consumption expenditures price index pushed Bitcoin from roughly $83,800 to above $85,500 within the hour. By October 1 almost all of that move was gone and the price sat near $84,000. Over the same stretch the 10-year Treasury yield stayed pinned around 5.3%, refusing to follow inflation lower. A benign inflation print could not hold the bid, while a stubborn yield curve pushed it back. That single session is the