XRP price could be setting up for a potential short-term further pullback before its long-term bull leg in 2026.
On the monthly chart, XRP price appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, which is characterized by a rising lower trendline and a flat upper resistance near $3.32. After testing the pattern’s resistance and failing to break above it, XRP fell more than 55% to trade around $1.35 on April 1, a move that confirms the near-term bearish leg within the broader pattern, according to a technical analysis from trading expert Ali Martinez.
XRP/USD monthly chart. Source: alichartsAs such, Martinez predicted that the altcoin could be preparing for an additional decline of approximately 30% before a meaningful recovery, which he views as a buying opportunity. He identifies the multi-year rising logarithmic support trendline, the ascending triangle’s lower boundary, as a key support level that could halt further downside.
Why is XRP price bearish in the short term but bullish in the long term?
The primary driver of the near-term bearish case is reduced capital inflows and declining speculative positioning. For instance, the United States spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded negative monthly net inflows in March 2026 for the first time since their launch in November 2025, as per metrics from SoSoValue.
The main reason why the token’s price could continue with a further pullback in the short term is due to the significant liquidity shortage. For instance, the United States spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their monthly inflows shift to negative in March, for the first time since their launch in November 2025.
Spot XRP ETFs’ monthly performance. Source: SoSoValueAdditionally, the XRP’s Open Interest (OI), a figure that shows the total value of active contracts still held by market participants across all exchanges, has declined by over 73% in the past two quarters to hover around $2.45 billion at the time of reporting.
XRP Open Interest since September 2025. Source: CoinGlassHowever, the altcoin’s macro bullish outlook is bolstered by its robust fundamentals. For instance, amid notable growth in Ripple Labs’ enterprise business, institutional investors, led by Goldman Sachs Group, have invested in XRP through various regulated products.
Source: https://finbold.com/xrp-price-prediction-analyst-maps-2026-outlook/
