POL, while maintaining a strong upward trend on the daily chart, retreated to the 0,15 dollar level with a sharp 6,18% correction in the last 24 hours. Although this movement indicates short-term profit-taking, the price holding above EMA20 and bullish MACD signals show that the trend is in a healthy consolidation phase. The squeeze between critical supports and resistances for investors will determine the direction of the coming weeks.
Market Outlook and Current Situation
Polymarket’s native token POL, after its impressive performance in the first weeks of 2026, crowned it with a pause in recent sessions. While the current price stabilizes around 0,15 dollars, the 24-hour trading volume reached 328 million dollars, proving that market interest has not diminished. Despite the 6,18% drop, the overall trend is upward; the price managed to stay above EMA20 (0,13 dollars), making this level the cornerstone of short-term bullish momentum. The consolidation in the 0,15-0,17 dollar range on the daily timeframe indicates that volatility has somewhat subsided, but the 16 strong levels emerging in multi-timeframe analysis whisper that the moment of decision is approaching.
POL’s market outlook is also shaped by uncertainties in the broader crypto ecosystem. The stable course of Bitcoin and Ethereum supports the altcoin rally, while POL’s niche position in DeFi and prediction markets stands out with volume increases. The support density in 3-day and weekly charts may limit a potential pullback, while the strength of resistances (especially 4 resistance levels on the 1W timeframe) may require additional momentum for upward breaks. In this context, examining detailed spot data on the POL Spot Analysis page can strengthen your current position.
The calm news flow in recent periods has left price movements entirely to technical factors. Although this silence has reduced speculative buying, the volume reaching 328 million dollars signals continued institutional interest. As long as the overall trend structure is not broken, this correction can be interpreted as an accumulation opportunity, but the Supertrend indicator’s bearish signal (0,19 dollar resistance) makes caution mandatory.
Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch
Support Zones
Support zones are among the most critical elements protecting POL’s current uptrend. The strongest support is at the 0,1350 dollar level (score: 65/100), standing out as a region intersecting with EMA20 on the daily chart. If this level is not breached, the price has a high chance of quick recovery; as 3 support confluences converge here on the 1D timeframe. Immediately above it, the 0,1508 dollar (score: 63/100) and 0,1426 dollar (score: 62/100) levels serve as secondary buffers. In multi-timeframe confluence (1D/3D/1W), a total of 7 support levels are concentrated in this range, promising a strong foundation in case of a potential bottom formation.
If the price slips below 0,1350, weekly supports can be expected to come into play, but this scenario is low probability with current volume. These supports gain extra strength by aligning with the 0,618 Fibonacci retracement level and having been tested multiple times in past corrections, increasing their reliability. Investors can evaluate these zones as entry points for long positions, of course with risk management.
Resistance Barriers
On the resistance side, 0,1577 dollars (score: 81/100) stands out as the toughest obstacle; positioned just below recent highs on the daily chart, this level should be watched as a short-term target. Above it, 0,1942 dollars (score: 66/100) overlaps with the Supertrend resistance, becoming a medium-term turning point. A total of 6 resistance confluences in 3D and 1W timeframes emphasize the difficulty of breaking these levels.
The strength of resistances is balanced by weak points in the volume profile; for example, if volume increases above 0,1577, a quick breakout can be triggered. Through POL Futures Analysis, open interest data in futures trading can illuminate speculative pressure during these resistance tests. Overall, while resistance barriers limit the bullish scenario, a breakout aligned with momentum indicators can open the door to new highs.
Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength
RSI at 65,96 level, approaching the bullish zone without yet triggering overbought danger (above 70); this indicates that the trend can extend healthily. This reading on the daily chart reflects strong momentum above 50 and increases the capacity to absorb short-term pullbacks. MACD confirms the bullish crossover with a positive histogram; the indicator holding above the signal line carries potential to gain momentum with histogram expansion.
The EMA structure is also positive: Price above EMA20 (0,13 dollars), has passed EMA50 and EMA200 upward. Although the Supertrend’s bearish signal (0,19 resistance) is the only negative point, the overall trend strength is supported in multi-timeframe – the uptrend channel on 1W is intact. Looking at the volume profile, the volume increase on down days (328M) implies smart money flow. These indicators argue that the trend is maintaining its strength and the correction is temporary, but the slowdown in RSI may bring a consolidation wave soon.
The ADX indicator measuring trend strength (around 28) shows medium-level trend intensity; this can prepare the ground for sudden explosions. MTF confluences (16 levels: 7S/9R) draw a balanced picture and await volume confirmation for momentum to challenge resistances.
Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook
The risk/reward ratio looks attractive in the current setup: Bullish target 0,2356 dollars (score:45) promises a 57% rise from the current price, while the bearish scenario points to 0,0563 dollars (score:22) carrying a 62% downside risk. R/R calculation (around 1:1,7) supports the upward bias, but must be balanced with the Supertrend bearish warning and RSI approaching overbought. In the positive scenario, a break above 0,1577 can lead to 0,1942 and 0,2356; in the negative, loss of 0,1350 brings a pullback to 0,1426.
The trading outlook is cautiously optimistic: Long bias should be maintained as long as the uptrend is not broken, avoid entries without stops. Volatility is high (24h range 13%), so position sizing is critical. General market liquidity increase can support POL’s activity in the spot market. Risks include sudden news flows and BTC correlation; both can trigger downside. In the long term, MTF supports validate the trend, while in the short term, resistance tests will be decisive.
The general outlook highlights the possibility of a continued rally after a healthy correction, but balanced scenarios must not be ignored. Professional analysts recommend staying data-driven and postponing emotional decisions.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/pol-january-12-2026-deepening-correction-in-the-uptrend-and-critical-levels
