SpaceX Just Led a Global Tech Wipeout, and a Saxo Strategist Blames Leverage and Passive Flows

The post SpaceX Just Led a Global Tech Wipeout, and a Saxo Strategist Blames Leverage and Passive Flows appeared first on 24/7 Wall St..

• Neil Wilson of Saxo Bank argues SpaceX's (SPCX) bond offering weeks after its IPO reflects index mechanics rather than financial weakness.
• SpaceX fell 19.69% over one week as passive funds struggled to absorb the supply shock of rapid consecutive capital raises from a company built on equity scarcity.
• Leveraged ETFs and short-dated options amplified the selloff, with sentiment on the stock swinging from +72 bullish to -18 bearish in 72 hours.
• Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and SpaceX didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) gave back roughly 16% over three consecutive sessions, and the proximate cause was almost embarrassingly mechanical. The company that just IPO’d into a $1.23 trillion market cap announced it intended to sell investment-grade bonds for the first time, only weeks after raising equity. Saxo Bank’s UK Investor Strategist Neil Wilson, speaking to Lizzy Burden on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe Tuesday, argued the move says more about how today’s mega-cap tech trades than about SpaceX’s balance sheet.

Why the SpaceX bond announcement broke the tape

Wilson’s read was that the selloff started with index plumbing. “Part of the factors behind the move was at the end of last week, some of the passive funds were positioned into the index positioning,” he said. According to him, SpaceX was “coming back to the market so quickly after raising money through equity to say they are looking for debt investment as well.” Passive vehicles can’t gracefully absorb two trips to the capital markets in close succession. This is especially true if you involve a company whose equity story is built on scarcity. They rebalance on schedule, not on narrative.

Burden framed the damage on air, noting SpaceX shares were “slipping for a third straight day, shedding hundreds of billions of dollars of value.” The price action confirms it. SPCX fell 19.69% over the week ending June 22, from $192.50 to $154.60, before bouncing 5.34% intraday Tuesday to $162.86. The recovery is real but partial.

Leveraged ETFs and three-day options are doing the amplifying

The more interesting Wilson observation was about who actually owns the volatility. “A lot of activity around the stock is in leveraged ETFs,” adding, “but also in terms of options positioning, a lot of the options are very short dated, that’s where investors are making short-term bets on where it will move in three or four days.” Short-dated options act like a crowbar on the underlying. Dealers hedging gamma have to sell into weakness and buy into strength. This is fine when flows are neutral and ugly when they are not.

You could see this in the Reddit data. r/options carried a “Long SPCX 180 puts 30dte” post on June 20, before the worst of the move, and r/wallstreetbets lit up with a “Hold my $170 HatePut until the 26th or sell it now?” thread once losses mounted. Sentiment on the name swung from a bullish 72 on Saturday afternoon to a very bearish 18 by Tuesday morning. That looks like positioning unwinding in fast-forward against a company that launched more than 80% of the world’s mass to orbit each year since 2023 and runs a Starlink constellation of roughly 9,600 satellites serving 164 countries.

The Asia bleed and what comes next

The damage exported cleanly. The MSCI Asia index fell 2.3%, its biggest intraday loss in two weeks, and South Korea’s Kospi fell more than 8% on its own tech concentration. NASDAQ futures pointed 1.3% to 1.7% lower. When one stock can drag a region, the region was never really diversified.

Wilson’s takeaway for anyone who is not trading three-day expiries was patient. “As far as longer-term investors are concerned, they buy into the opportunity. It’s really about momentum in terms of whether it’s good or bad and we have to wait until the middle of August and we get to earnings to see what the next moves are.”

Until then, the same mechanics that pulled SPCX down can pull it back up. SpaceX’s SEC filings under CIK 0001181412 will eventually show what the bond deal was actually for, and a January 2026 acquisition of xAI inside the same corporate envelope adds another moving part. Charlie Warzel writing in The Atlantic on June 20 called the resulting entity “a seven-headed Hydra at the end of finance.” Whatever it is, it now sets the tone for global tech, which means watching the leverage rather than the rocket.

Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and SpaceX didn’t make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

The post SpaceX Just Led a Global Tech Wipeout, and a Saxo Strategist Blames Leverage and Passive Flows appeared first on 24/7 Wall St..