Alphabet’s Class C shares (GOOG) came under pressure again, sliding about 2-4% in recent sessions and underperforming the broader market as investors reassess the cost of Google’s AI ambitions and the impact of geopolitical shocks.
GOOG recently traded near $283.65, down about 2.1% on the day and roughly 19% below its 52‑week high of $350.15 reached in February.
A Zacks note highlighted that Alphabet’s Class A shares (GOOGL) closed a prior session at $290.44, down 3.85%, versus a 0.37% decline in the S&P 500.
Barchart reported a 3.1% intraday drop and a 3.7% slide on the day to around $290.56, driven largely by fears that spiking energy prices from the Middle East conflict will raise operating costs for Google’s energy‑hungry AI and data centers.
Why Google Is Selling Off
There are three big drivers behind the latest weakness in GOOG stock:
-
AI Spending Shock
In early February, Alphabet announced a $180 billion capital‑expenditure plan for 2026, far above Wall Street expectations, as it pours money into AI infrastructure and data centers. Yahoo Finance noted that the stock fell as much as 5% intraday on the news, as investors questioned how quickly those investments will translate into profits.
Even with the launch of Gemini 3, which Google says beats rivals on key benchmarks and now powers an app with over 750 million monthly active users, the market is wrestling with the trade‑off between growth and margins.
-
Geopolitics and Energy Prices
Barchart pointed out that escalating tensions in the Middle East and higher oil prices have raised concerns about the cost of running Google’s global server farms, which rely heavily on electricity. With Brent crude trading in triple digits, investors are modeling higher opex, especially if energy inflation persists.
-
Regulatory Overhang
While a major U.S. antitrust case against Google’s search business avoided the worst‑case scenario of a forced breakup in 2025, the company remains under scrutiny. In February 2026, new headlines emerged about an EU probe into search ad pricing, adding another layer of regulatory noise just as Google tries to pivot toward AI and away from purely ad‑driven growth.
Still a Giant in AI and Search
Despite the selloff, Alphabet remains an AI heavyweight. The company’s market cap is still over $3.43 trillion, with a trailing P/E of about 26x and earnings per share near $10.8. Judge Amit Mehta’s earlier decision not to force a breakup of Chrome or Android removed a massive tail‑risk, and Google’s search and ad businesses continue to throw off huge cash flows.
Investors who bought $1,000 of Alphabet stock five years ago would now be sitting on about $2,880, even after the recent drop. That’s why some analysts view the pullback as more of a valuation reset than a fundamental crack.
Source: https://coinpaper.com/15743/goog-stock-forecast-google-falls-3-8-on-ai-and-energy-risks
