HBAR Price Prediction: Targets $0.11 by March as Technical Setup Improves
Ted Hisokawa Feb 18, 2026 11:07
Hedera (HBAR) shows neutral momentum at $0.10 with RSI at 51.81. Technical analysis suggests potential move to $0.11 resistance level, though bearish MACD signals caution for near-term outlook.
HBAR Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $0.103-$0.105 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.09-$0.11 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.11 • Critical support: $0.10
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Hedera
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent market commentary, historical analysis from blockchain.news earlier this year had projected HBAR targets of $0.16 for January 2026. However, current market conditions show HBAR trading significantly below those projections at $0.10.
According to on-chain data from major exchanges, HBAR has maintained relatively stable trading volume of $8.47 million on Binance spot markets over the past 24 hours, suggesting sustained institutional interest despite the sideways price action.
HBAR Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current HBAR price prediction is supported by several key technical indicators showing mixed signals. The RSI reading of 51.81 places Hedera in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions - a healthy setup for potential directional moves.
The MACD histogram at -0.0000 suggests bearish momentum remains minimal but present, while the MACD line at -0.0012 closely aligns with its signal line, indicating potential for momentum shifts. This technical setup suggests HBAR could see increased volatility in the coming sessions.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals HBAR trading at 78.93% of the band width, positioned closer to the upper band at $0.11 than the lower band at $0.08. This suggests the token has room for upward movement before hitting overbought levels.
The moving average structure shows mixed signals with short-term averages (SMA 7: $0.10, SMA 20: $0.09) supporting current price levels, while longer-term averages (SMA 200: $0.17) indicate HBAR remains well below its historical trading range.
Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish HBAR price prediction targets the immediate resistance level at $0.11, representing a 9% upside from current levels. A successful break above this level could open the door to testing the 50-day moving average at $0.11, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band.
For confirmation of bullish momentum, traders should watch for RSI to break above 60 and MACD histogram to turn positive. The Stochastic indicators (%K: 81.10, %D: 64.88) suggest some overbought pressure in the short term, but this could resolve with sideways consolidation.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for this Hedera forecast sees HBAR retesting support at the $0.10 level, with potential downside to the lower Bollinger Band at $0.08 if selling pressure increases. This would represent a 20% decline from current levels.
Risk factors include the significant gap between current price and the 200-day moving average at $0.17, indicating long-term bearish sentiment. Additionally, the minimal daily ATR of $0.01 suggests low volatility, which could lead to extended sideways trading rather than significant moves.
Should You Buy HBAR? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, potential entry points for HBAR include:
Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the $0.09 level (20-day SMA) for better risk-reward positioning.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $0.10 offer proximity to support with reasonable upside to $0.11 resistance.
Stop-loss Strategy: Place stops below $0.095 to limit downside risk, representing the midpoint between current price and the lower Bollinger Band.
Risk management should account for HBAR's position well below historical highs, suggesting this remains a speculative position rather than a momentum trade.
Conclusion
This HBAR price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook with targets of $0.11 in the medium term, supported by neutral RSI readings and proximity to resistance levels. However, the bearish MACD and significant distance from long-term moving averages warrant careful risk management.
The Hedera forecast indicates potential for modest gains, but traders should be prepared for continued sideways action given the low volatility environment. Success of bullish targets depends heavily on broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and technical confirmation through increased volume and momentum indicators.
Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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