MetaPlanet Stock Price Crashes 50% Yet Analysts See Massive Upside

Key Insights:

• MetaPlanet stock price crashed 50% from 639 JPY to 307 JPY in under a month.
• The company now holds 35,102 BTC at an average price of $102,000, with $680 million in unrealized losses.
• The stock price needs 437 JPY to signal recovery toward the analyst target of 1,927 JPY.

MetaPlanet stock price fell from 639 JPY to 307 JPY in under a month. JPY stands for Japanese Yen. One US dollar buys roughly 152 JPY at current rates.

So, 639 JPY was about $4.20. Now it sits near $2.30. Half gone. The company put everything into Bitcoin. Bitcoin went down. The stock went with it. Yet somehow the company just went out and raised $137 million to buy even more.

MetaPlanet Stock Price Halves on Bitcoin Bet

MetaPlanet started as a hotel business in Tokyo. Then it changed direction completely. It sold off most of its old operations and started buying Bitcoin instead. The idea came from MicroStrategy, an American software company that became famous for putting billions of dollars of Bitcoin on its balance sheet. MetaPlanet copied that playbook for Japan.

For a while, it paid off. Stock went from single digits to 639 JPY in January. Then Bitcoin prices fell. The MetaPlanet stock price fell harder and faster than Bitcoin itself. Right now, the company sits on 35,102 Bitcoin. At today’s Bitcoin price near $69,000, that stack is worth about $2.4 billion. Sounds like a lot.

But MetaPlanet paid an average of $102,000 to $107,000 for each coin. Do the math, and roughly $680 million in losses show up on the books. Every single day Bitcoin stays below $102,000, that number stays red.

Management raised $137 million in late January 2026 anyway. Bought more Bitcoin. Paid some debt. CEO Simon Gerovich went public on Feb. 6, saying nothing has changed. The company wants 100,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2026. They have 35,102 right now.

MetaPlanet Keeps Buying Bitcoin Through the Pain

Most companies stop buying something when it drops 35% below their purchase price. MetaPlanet did the opposite.

MicroStrategy did something similar in the US. It held Bitcoin through crashes of 50%, 70%, and even 80%. Each time Bitcoin recovered, MicroStrategy stock recovered too. Often stronger than before. MetaPlanet is betting the same thing happens here.

When Bitcoin climbs back above $102,000, those 35,102 coins stop being a loss. They become a massive gain. The stock follows that math directly.

Chaikin Money Flow tracks whether big institutional investors are moving money into or out of a stock. For MTPLF stock, this indicator spent weeks deep in negative territory. It has been climbing slowly. Today it sits right at zero. Not positive yet. But the direction changed. A move above zero would show large amounts of money starting to come back in.

Big Money Enters | Source: TradingView

The stock already bounced 20% after hitting a 307 JPY low on February 6. Small move. But it came from the right place.

MetaPlanet Stock Price Needs 437 JPY Breakout

Only two analysts cover MetaPlanet. Both rate it a buy. The average price target sits at 1,927 JPY, roughly $12.70 at current exchange rates. That is 438% above where the stock trades today. The highest target reaches 2,400 JPY.

MetaPlanet Targets | Source: Investing.Com

Those numbers feel distant right now. Closer levels come first. 382 JPY is the first wall to break. After that, 437 JPY becomes the real test. Getting above 437 JPY would signal the downtrend breaking. From there, 639 JPY comes back into view.

Falling under 307 JPY opens a much darker path. Below that level, 111 JPY becomes possible. Another 69% drop from here. The MetaPlanet stock price needs buyers to hold 307 JPY while it builds toward 437 JPY. Everything depends on Bitcoin cooperating.

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