XRP Bounces Hard After Capitulation — Relief Rally Or Another Bull Trap?

XRP has staged a sharp rebound after a brutal sell-off that flushed price into deep capitulation territory, sparking a fast and aggressive bounce. While the recovery shows clear short-term strength, the bigger question remains whether this move marks the start of a meaningful trend shift or just another relief rally within a broader downtrend.

Capitulation Flush Sets The Stage For A Bounce

XRP has recently emerged from a sharp sell-off that printed yet another lower low, underlining the strength of bearish pressure seen in recent weeks. According to MakroVision Research, such impulsive downside moves are often seen toward the later stages of broader corrective phases, where panic selling and capitulation tend to peak as weaker hands are flushed out.

From that capitulation low, price action has started to stabilize and transition into a short-term recovery attempt. Buyers reacted swiftly, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing for now and that the market is trying to build a base after the steep decline.

The rebound itself unfolded with notable momentum, as XRP surged by more than 30% in a relatively short period. This impulsive recovery is typical of first reactions following strong sell-offs.

Despite the encouraging short-term strength, the broader structure remains under pressure, and XRP is still locked in a medium-term downtrend. Unless the price decisively breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the key resistance cluster around $2.20, the bigger picture continues to favor a bearish bias rather than a confirmed bullish reversal.

Upside Reclaim Needed To Shift XRP Narrative

MakroVision Research further noted that the recovery phase places several critical levels in focus. A sustained move back above the $1.80–$1.85 zone would be the first clear indication that buyers are beginning to regain control, opening the door for a broader continuation of the rebound.

Until that happens, downside risks remain present. The liquidity area extending toward the $1.35 level continues to act as an important reference point, as price could still be drawn back into this zone if the current recovery loses momentum.

The firm also cautioned traders to pay close attention to the nature of the counter-trend move. Recovery rallies that unfold in deep, impulsive bursts often signal distribution rather than accumulation, and in past market phases, this type of price action has frequently preceded another leg lower.

Overall, XRP has stabilized after the sharp sell-off and is attempting to build a short-term base. While the immediate reaction shows strength, the broader market structure remains bearish as long as the resistance cluster near $2.20 caps price. Whether this move evolves into a sustainable recovery or fades into another lower high will depend on how the price behaves around these key levels.