Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Charts Flash Warning Signs Against USD and BTC

XRP continues to trade in a corrective environment after the sharp rebound earlier in the month. Against USDT, the asset has stabilized above the major demand region while failing to reclaim the broader distribution zone.

Versus Bitcoin, XRP remains in a structural downtrend and has resumed underperformance after a brief spike into resistance. Until the BTC pair can hold a higher low and recover above key moving averages, relative strength continues to favour Bitcoin over XRP.

Ripple Price Analysis: The USDT Pair

On the daily XRP/USDT chart, the price recently bounced from the $1.80 support band and rallied into the $2.40 supply zone, where it met the declining 100-day moving average and sits still well below the 200-day moving average near the upper part of that resistance block.

The rejection from this confluence, together with a cooling daily RSI after an overbought push, indicates that the market has transitioned from impulse to consolidation or corrective pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

In the short term, the $2.00 region now acts as the first important pivot; holding above it would preserve a constructive higher-low structure and keep open the prospect of another attempt at $2.40 and, later, a test of the 200-day moving average. On the other hand, a daily close back below roughly $2.00 would signal that selling pressure is re-establishing control and increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward the $1.80 demand zone, where the prior base of the rally was formed.

The BTC Pair

The daily XRP/BTC pair shows a clear rejection from the 2,400–2,500 sats resistance band, which coincides with the key 200-day moving average and a prior distribution zone. After that failed breakout, the price has rotated lower and now trades around the 2,150 sats area, with the daily RSI rolling over from a local peak. This behavior is typical of continuation within an existing downtrend, with rallies into the moving averages repeatedly attracting supply.

If the current weakness persists, the next notable technical area lies around 2,000 sats. Only a sustained recovery back above the 2,400 sats region, coupled with a break and hold above the daily moving averages, would indicate a material shift in relative strength and open the way for a larger mean-reversion phase in favor of XRP against Bitcoin.

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