Gold enters the new week near a decisive zone after a sharp rally, a rejection near $4,600, and renewed debate over whether buyers or sellers control the next move. XAUUSD trades around $4,540, with traders watching $4,588 resistance and the $4,462 support area for the next directional signal.
After Friday’s volatility, the gold price has returned to a critical short-term area. XAUUSD broke above last week’s high near $4,581, pushed toward $4,594, then closed lower. That move trapped late buyers who entered above the breakout level.
Meanwhile, the failed move near the psychological $4,600 level brought sellers back into the market. That left the price caught between buyers defending the breakout area and sellers reacting to the rejection.
Gold/USD 1-H Chart | Source: Operator, X
The Operator’s 1-hour chart showed a possible zig-zag recovery if price stays above nearby demand. Initial support sits around $4,521, with stronger demand closer to $4,500. If the pullback extends, the next retest area may fall between $4,455 and $4,462.
However, the bullish path needs confirmation above $4,558 to $4,570. If buyers reclaim that zone, gold could target $4,617 first. From there, the next upside levels sit near $4,654, $4,680, and $4,733.
Meanwhile, the current setup reflects a classic liquidity trap. Early buyers chased the move above $4,581, while late sellers reacted to the rejection near $4,600. This leaves both groups vulnerable if price swings sharply in either direction.
The bullish argument rests on the view that institutional demand may still support the market near lower zones. In that case, a temporary dip toward $4,500 to $4,520 could strengthen seller confidence before price reverses higher.
That would match the projected path on the 1-hour chart, where gold first sweeps lower demand and then recovers toward resistance. A clean hold above $4,462 keeps this bullish view active.
Still, gold has not yet broken a major higher-timeframe swing high. This keeps many traders focused on selling rallies. As long as lower highs dominate the broader chart, each upside reaction may face heavy resistance near $4,588 and $4,637.
Gold Price Parabolic, Echoing Historical Patterns Of Bitcoin. Nevertheless, other analysts are warning that gold is near a make-or-break level. A market note cited by LSEG said Gold is testing its 200-day moving average. A breakdown could send prices toward $4,098, while a recovery above $4,773 could revive the bullish case.
Make-or-Break Moment for Gold | Source: LSEG
The shared chart shows Gold forming descending highs after a blow-off top earlier in the year. Price has moved lower from the March region and now approaches key support as June begins.
Jennie’s weekly outlook also keeps the bearish case alive while gold trades below $4,588. Her chart placed support at $4,467, $4,401, and $4,350. If these levels fail, the next deeper area appears near $4,098.
On the upside, she noted that a break above $4,588 would shift focus to the upper trendline of the descending channel near $4,637. Above that, dotted resistance zones sit near $4,665, $4,773, $4,809, and $4,850.
For now, XAUUSD sits between short-term recovery signals and higher-timeframe caution. The immediate pivot is $4,558 to $4,588. A strong move above this band could trap sellers and open the way toward $4,617, $4,654, and $4,680.
On the downside, the first support zone sits near $4,521. Below that, traders are watching $4,500, $4,467, and $4,462. A clean break under $4,462 would weaken the bullish setup and shift attention toward $4,401 and $4,350.
A stronger bearish breakdown could bring the $4,098 level back into view, especially if gold loses the 200-day moving average and fails to reclaim the descending channel.
The new week, therefore, begins with gold compressed between a bullish liquidity-sweep setup and a bearish higher-timeframe structure. The next confirmed break above $4,588 or below $4,462 may decide whether XAUUSD extends toward $4,700 or returns toward deeper support.
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