Possible 'military insider' bets big Trump will send US troops into Iran

A suspicious betting account on the prediction market website Polymarket appears poised to win big if President Donald Trump deploys U.S. troops to Iran this month.

PredictFolio, a trading analytics platform, flagged an account called "BulkeyBull" that purchased more than 69,000 shares, predicting that U.S. forces would enter Iran before March 31. The analytics platform said the account could win more than $100,000 if the bet pays out.

Over the last month, the same account has made several similar predictions, winning more than $90,000 in the process.

PredictFolio suggested the account could be controlled by a "military insider," noting that it has changed its name multiple times.

The account also correctly predicted that the Trump administration would strike Iran before the end of February, and that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would be removed as Iran's leader.

Prediction markets have become a sore topic for the Trump administration. There have been massive bets placed on strange items like whether the Trump administration would reveal the existence of alien life and what Trump would say during his address to the nation in December 2025. The bets have fueled speculation that Trump administration insiders are behind the bets.