38% of altcoins near all-time lows: what it means
Based on data from CryptoQuant, roughly 38% of altcoins are trading near their all-time lows, surpassing the share seen after the FTX collapse. This indicates a broad, cycle-level drawdown concentrated in smaller and mid-cap tokens.
“Near ATL” refers to a provider-defined proximity to each asset’s historical low. A high share near that threshold signals deteriorating breadth, fragile risk appetite, and a preference for higher-liquidity majors over the long tail of tokens.
Why this exceeds post‑FTX levels and why it matters
As reported by Stocktwits News, this marks one of the deepest sector drawdowns in four years, underscoring how capital has consolidated in a few large assets. The implication is tighter liquidity for altcoins, making execution harder and volatility more reflexive.
Some analysts interpret such extremes as conditions where bottom-building can start. “When market conditions deteriorate to extreme levels, bottoming signals tend to emerge,” said Darkfost, market analyst.
Microstructure matters here. Thin order books and wider spreads increase slippage, discouraging two-way flow and reinforcing underperformance in USD and versus BTC pairs.
Liquidity has become more selective. Depth concentrates in BTC and a handful of majors, while smaller altcoins face higher impact costs, episodic gaps, and reduced resting orders around mid-price levels.
The odds of a classic “altcoin season” fall when Bitcoin dominance trends higher and ALT/BTC pairs decline. A rotation typically requires stabilization in BTC, improving funding conditions, and signs of sustained risk appetite.
At the time of this writing, Solana (SOL) metrics indicate a price of 85.80, “Bearish” sentiment, 7.44% volatility, 13/30 green days, and technicals of RSI(14) 47.23, SMA50 104.30, and SMA200 144.62.
Signals to watch for an altcoin rotation
Bitcoin dominance, ALT/BTC pairs, and funding conditions
A potential rotation often begins when Bitcoin dominance stalls or reverses. Look for ALT/BTC pairs to establish higher lows and for perpetual funding rates and basis to normalize without persistent negative or excessively positive skews.
Stablecoin flows, Kaiko market depth, and ETF or macro catalysts
Sustained growth in stablecoin net issuance can precede risk-on behavior, while rebuilding order-book depth across centralized venues would support healthier executions. As reported by BeInCrypto, PMI-linked shifts can coincide with changing risk appetite. ETF catalysts, including flow dynamics around products from issuers such as VanEck, may also influence allocation.
FAQ about 38% of altcoins near all-time lows
How does the current drawdown compare to the post-FTX period, are conditions truly worse now?
The share now slightly exceeds the post‑FTX level, suggesting broader stress. Liquidity remains fragile for altcoins, while capital appears concentrated in majors.
What liquidity and market depth trends are weighing on altcoins, and how can I track them in real time?
Thin order books and wider spreads increase slippage, amplifying volatility. Track stablecoin issuance, exchange depth dashboards, ALT/BTC pairs, and funding rates from reputable analytics providers.
| DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
Source: https://coincu.com/markets/bitcoin-holds-ground-as-38-of-altcoins-near-all-time-lows/
