PANews reported on February 11th that, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March PANews reported on February 11th that, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March

Following the release of the non-farm payrolls data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March rose to 94%.

2026/02/11 22:11
1 min read
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PANews reported on February 11th that, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 6.0% (21.7% before the announcement), and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 94.0% (78.3% before the announcement). The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by April is 18.8% (35.7% before the announcement), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80.4% (58.9% before the announcement), and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9% (5.4% before the announcement). The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 49.4% (49% before the announcement).

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