China is Withdrawing From US Treasury, Will it Impact the Crypto Market?

• Regulators in China have directed banks to limit their holdings in US Treasury.
• The global crypto market could suffer if liquidity tightens and/or volatility increases.
• Trump is likely to visit China in April and host Xi by the end of the year.

China has reportedly asked its banks to limit their US Treasury holdings. This has triggered anticipations around several aspects, like volatility for risky assets and the nature of liquidity. The crypto market is on edge because it might feel the pinch, just like stocks and the US Dollar. China, as of November 2025, remains one of the biggest holders of US Treasury.

China to Limit US Treasury Holdings

Chinese banks are likely to limit their holdings in or purchase of US Treasury at the directions of regulators. The move is being framed around the intention to diversify risks; however, it aligns with the idea of monitoring the exposure to sharp swings. China was last seen holding $682.6 billion in November 2025, down from $688.7 billion in the previous month and $700.5 billion in September 2025.

India has made a similar move in the last couple of months. According to Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities, India held $202.7 billion in September 2025, $190.7 billion in October 2025, and $186.5 billion in November 2025.

As for the Chinese banks, there is no specific timeline or size to trim a share in the US Treasury. Also, the directive excludes state holdings of China of US Treasury.

Impact on Crypto Market

China remains the third biggest holder of the US Treasury, following Japan and the UK in the same sequence. A pullback from the Asian nation could lead to tightening of liquidity and high volatility for risk assets, cryptocurrencies in this instance.

A tightened liquidity could offer limited capacity to investors for fund allocation, and high volatility could mark a shift to safer alternatives, possibly Gold and Silver.

Cryptocurrencies are already testing critical levels ahead of the US Jan 2026 Employment and Inflation data. BTC is hovering around $69,548 while ETH is laying low at approximately $2,039 when the article is being written.

While BTC and ETH price predictions are bullish, changing dynamics could bring revised estimates. It is important to do thorough research and risk assessment before crypto investments.

What’s Next?

It remains to be seen how much China shrinks its share, and if it takes down the crypto market any further. The timing is worth noting, though. It comes days before US President Donald Trump is reportedly scheduled to visit China. According to a report by The Hindu, Trump could first visit China in April 2026 before welcoming Xi Jinping by December 2026.

Interestingly, the move also comes at a time when the US and Iran are trying to work out their conflict through interactions. The future of the global crypto market can be seen on the edge amid geopolitical uncertainties, whether its holdings in US Treasury or conflicts.

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