TIA is showing a strong downtrend (LH/LL structure) at the $0.37 level; downward momentum continues by holding recent swing lows. For structure break (BOS), a close above $0.3721 is required, otherwise pressure towards the $0.3313 support may increase.
Market Structure Overview
TIA’s current market structure indicates a clear downtrend. The price is following a lower highs/lower lows (LH/LL) pattern instead of higher highs/higher lows (HH/HL), showing bearish character. Current price is at $0.37 level with a -3% 24-hour change, negative. Trading below short-term EMA20 ($0.43) reinforces the short-term bearish structure. The Supertrend indicator also gives a bearish signal and $0.48 resistance forms a strong upper band. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, a total of 11 strong levels were detected on 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports/3 resistances on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 1W predominantly. This distribution emphasizes additional resistance pressure for upward movement. Although RSI at 32.34 is approaching oversold territory, MACD with negative histogram confirms bearish momentum. Overall, TIA’s structure is downtrend-focused, and holding the $0.3676 swing low is critical for trend continuation.
Trend Analysis: Uptrend or Downtrend?
Bullish Trend Signals
For an uptrend, an HH/HL structure needs to form; that is, consecutive higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the $0.3721 swing high has not been broken, and the price is trying to hold above the $0.3676 swing low. A potential bullish signal could come with BOS (break of structure) above $0.3721, opening the way to $0.4016 and $0.4282 resistances. However, although RSI is at 32, there is no divergence, meaning no strong reversal signal. Bullish continuation target is $0.5712 (low score), but it looks difficult due to BTC correlation.
Downtrend Risk
The downtrend is clear with LH/LL: The latest swing high at $0.3721 remained as a lower high, and swing low at $0.3676 is below previous lows. Although $0.3313 (81/100 score) is a strong support, breaking it triggers CHoCH (change of character) and leads to a bearish breakdown targeting $0.0998 (high score). MACD is bearish and structure below EMA increases short-term risk. 24h range squeeze at $0.35-$0.39 raises the probability of a downward break.
Structure Break (BOS) Levels
BOS levels confirm trend changes. Bullish BOS: Daily close above $0.3721 swing high breaks LH/LL and signals transition to HH/HL – this opens the door to $0.4016. Bearish BOS: Close below $0.3676 confirms LL and pressures $0.3313; if broken, targets $0.0998. In MTF, 1W resistances (around $0.4282) are strong, so additional volume is required for upward BOS. CHoCH early warning: If price tests $0.3313, expect continuation instead of reversal, as dominance structure does not support it.
Swing Points and Their Importance
Recent Swing Highs
Recent swing highs: $0.3721 (71/100 score, nearby resistance), $0.4282 (62/100), $0.4016 (60/100). $0.3721 confirms the downtrend as a local LH; if broken, the trend weakens. These levels are resistance for short positions, invalidation points for longs. Previous HHs ($0.48 Supertrend) are distant, so recovery is difficult.
Recent Swing Lows
Recent swing lows: $0.3313 (81/100, main support), $0.3676 (65/100, nearby floor). $0.3676 represents the latest LL; holding it slows the downtrend but breaking it triggers bearish BOS. These points are ideal for stop-loss: Below $0.3676 for longs, above $0.3721 for shorts.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC is in a downtrend at $73,470 level with -3.5% drop; Supertrend bearish, supports at $72,169/$69,413. Altcoins like TIA are highly correlated with BTC (%80+), if BTC breaks below $72k, TIA’s test of $0.3313 accelerates. If BTC resistance at $74,216 breaks, TIA gets a breather ($0.3721 BOS), but dominance is bearish – caution for alts. BTC $60k scenario pushes TIA to $0.0998; watch BTC supports for TIA structure shift. Details for TIA Spot Analysis and TIA Futures Analysis.
Structural Outlook and Expectations
TIA’s structural outlook is bearish: LH/LL downtrend continues, squeeze at $0.37 is downward biased. For trend invalidation, $0.3721 BOS is required; otherwise $0.3313 test. MTF resistance dominance supports short-term selling pressure. Educational note: Market structure is the cornerstone of price action – HH/HL bullish, LH/LL bearish; changes with BOS/CHoCH. Risk management: High volatility, pay attention to position sizing. No news, stay pure structure-focused.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/tia-technical-analysis-february-4-2026-market-structure
