LIT is trading sideways at the $1.58 level while giving mixed technical signals; MACD is bullish while Supertrend is producing a bearish signal. This situation makes both upside breakout and downside collapse scenarios possible, tracking critical levels is of vital importance.
Current Market Situation
LIT is currently trading at $1.58 and has recorded a 4.65% increase in the last 24 hours. The daily range is stuck between $1.43 – $1.60, with volume at a moderate level of $70.73 million. The overall trend is sideways, but short-term indicators are giving conflicting signals.
RSI at 48.64 is in the neutral zone, no overbought or oversold conditions. MACD with a positive histogram indicates bullish momentum, while the price’s position above EMA20 ($0.76) supports short-term optimism. In contrast, Supertrend is giving a bearish signal and the $1.27 resistance appears to have been tested recently. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, a total of 17 strong levels have been identified on 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 3 supports/4 resistances on 1D, 2S/2R on 3D, 5S/3R balance on 1W.
Supports: $0.5210 (score 76/100), $0.6371 (71/100), $0.3868 (69/100). Resistances: $0.9103 (77/100), $1.1507 (72/100), $1.0305 (71/100). Although the current price position has already surpassed some of these levels, new tests could be trend-determining. The sideways consolidation can be interpreted as an accumulation phase before increased volatility.
Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario
How Does This Scenario Unfold?
For the bullish scenario, a clear break and close above the $1.60 daily high is first required. This breakout should be supported by increasing volume; RSI should gain momentum above 50 and the MACD histogram should expand. If the price, already above short-term EMA20, gains momentum toward EMA50 (around $1.20), the bullish trend is confirmed.
In MTF, if strong supports on the 1W chart ($0.52 – $0.63) hold, the ground is prepared for an altcoin rally. A 20%+ increase in volume and positive candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing) act as triggers. Bitcoin testing the $74,216 resistance could reflect positively on LIT due to correlation. In this scenario, invalidation occurs with a close below the $1.43 support.
Target Levels
First target: $1.80 (fib 0.618 extension + MTF resistance). Second target: $2.10 (near previous highs). Long-term: $2.50+ (1W bullish channel upper band). Risk/reward ratio could be around 1:2.5 depending on entry, but verify current data on the LIT Spot Analysis page.
Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario
Risk Factors
The bearish scenario is triggered by a close below the $1.43 range low. If Supertrend’s bearish signal strengthens and RSI falls below 40, momentum turns downward. Negative divergence or histogram contraction in MACD increases risk. Selling pressure in volume (15%+ increase downward) and red candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) provide confirmation.
In MTF, pressure from 4 resistances on 1D and 5 supports on 1W could create a downward imbalance despite the balance. Bitcoin breaking the $72,169 support would have a negative impact on LIT. In this scenario, invalidation occurs with a close above $1.60.
Protection Levels
First protection: $1.27 (Supertrend resistance). Second: $1.1507 – $1.0305 zone. In deep decline: $0.9103, $0.6371, $0.5210, even $0.3868. Follow LIT Futures Analysis for futures trading, set stop-losses according to these levels.
Which Scenario to Watch?
For bullish: Watch $1.60 breakout + volume increase + RSI>50. For bearish: $1.43 breakout + negative MACD + selling volume. MTF alignment is essential in both scenarios; 1H/4H closes are decisive. Bitcoin movements are critical: BTC above 74k bullish, below 72k bearish for LIT. Monitor daily candle closes and news flow (or general market if none).
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC at $73,506 level with -1.59% decline in downtrend, Supertrend giving bearish signal. Altcoins like LIT are highly correlated with BTC; if BTC holds $72,169 support, LIT rally possible, but $69,413 breakout creates general pressure on altcoins. BTC resistances $74,216 – $77,131, if broken, LIT tests $1.60+. Increasing dominance raises bearish risk, prioritize BTC levels.
Conclusion and Monitoring Notes
LIT’s sideways consolidation will determine the clear trend based on breakout direction. Define clear triggers for each scenario: Bullish $1.60+, bearish $1.43-. Daily/weekly closes, volume, and BTC correlation are key monitoring points. Apply your own risk management, market is volatile.
Watchlist: $1.60/$1.43 breakouts, RSI/MACD changes, BTC 72k/74k levels, volume anomalies.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/lit-technical-analysis-february-4-2026-will-it-rise-or-fall
