The positive course of the MACD histogram in ZEC and the price positioning above EMA20 give a hidden bull momentum signal within the sideways trend; however, Supertrend resistance and BTC pressure are noteworthy.
Trend Status and Momentum Analysis
ZEC is trading at the 396.62 dollar level as of January 27, 2026, and exhibited a strong 8.46% rise in the last 24 hours. The daily range was between 362.83-399.81 dollars, while volume reached 854.26 million dollars, confirming this movement. The overall trend can be described as sideways; the price is neither trapped in a clear bull channel nor in a bear market. However, momentum indicators point to building strength under this sideways movement. The price’s upward break above EMA20 (390.88 dollars) supports the short-term bull trend, while MACD’s bullish position shows momentum strengthening with the histogram’s positive expansion. The Supertrend indicator is still giving a bearish signal and pointing to 489.88 dollar resistance. In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, 15 strong levels were identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 1 support/5 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 3D, 3 supports/4 resistances on 1W weighted. This structure highlights a 626.40 dollar target in upward breakouts and a 131.39 dollar bearish scenario downside. Volume increase confirms the recent rise, while the confluence of momentum oscillators suggests the sideways trend could turn bullish. Key support at 328.45 dollars (score 63/100), resistances at 442.28 (70/100), 549.93 (76/100), and 750.00 (66/100) dollar levels should be monitored. For detailed data, check ZEC Spot Analysis and ZEC Futures Analysis.
RSI Indicator: Buy or Sell?
RSI Divergence Analysis
RSI (14) is currently at 49.17 in the neutral zone; it gives neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) signals. This reflects momentum in balance and a consolidation phase before a major breakout. No regular bullish divergence is observed in RSI with the recent price rise; while price makes higher lows, RSI stays at similar levels, which could indicate weak momentum but is neutralized by volume confirmation. There is potential for hidden bullish divergence: if RSI forms a higher low while price hits the 362.83 dollar low, it could be an early warning for trend reversal. Conversely, if bearish divergence forms (price higher high, RSI lower high), selling pressure may increase. At current levels, RSI supports continuation of the sideways trend, but a break above 50 is a buy signal, and below 40 indicates downside momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Regions
RSI at 49.17 maintains medium-term balance; even the 8.46% rally in the last 24 hours didn’t bring it close to 60, suggesting the rise could be sustainable. Gaining momentum without entering the overbought zone (70+) implies a healthy bull structure. The 30 level below is critical; a pullback there with volume decline would strengthen sell signals. RSI’s neutrality aligns with the EMA ribbon’s bull dynamics and enhances momentum confluence.
MACD Signals and Histogram Dynamics
MACD stands out as the strongest momentum signal source: in bullish status and supported by a positive histogram. The signal line crossover has occurred upward; histogram bars are expanding, confirming momentum acceleration. This shows sustained bull momentum above the zero line – the driving force behind the last 24-hour rise comes from here. Histogram contraction risk is low; if expansion continues with volume increase (854M dollars), a move toward resistances is expected. For a bearish crossover, the histogram must approach zero and break the signal line downward; the current positive structure prevents this. MACD divergence is negligible; aligned movement with price reinforces trend strength. In the short term, MACD emphasizes ZEC’s potential transition from sideways to bull.
EMA Systems and Trend Strength
Short-Term EMAs
Price is clearly above the 390.88 dollar EMA20; this proves the short-term trend is bullish. The ribbon narrowing between EMA10 and EMA50 has ended, with expansion favoring bulls. A pullback to EMA20 would be a support test; a break below would signal weakness. Short-term EMA dynamics show momentum strengthening in the sub-trend.
Medium/Long-Term EMA Supports
There may be support seeking around medium-term EMA50 and EMA100; a drop there would extend consolidation. Long-term EMA200 overlaps with 328 dollar support. The ribbon lacks a general bull slope but short-term dominance exists. Supertrend’s bearish status (489.88 resistance) limits the EMAs’ long-term strength; a breakout would form a full bull ribbon.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC is at the 89,000 dollar level and rose only 1.21% in 24 hours while downtrend dominates; main supports at 88,314-85,129 dollars, resistances at 88,954-94,437 dollars. BTC Supertrend is bearish, dominance increase warns altcoins: ZEC’s recent rally appears independent of BTC but correlation is high. If BTC breaks below 88,314, ZEC’s 328 support test accelerates; above 91,000 opens room for ZEC’s 442-549 resistances. Altcoin rally requires BTC stabilization.
Momentum Outcome and Expectations
ZEC momentum is positive with MACD bullish histogram and price above EMA20; supported by RSI neutral balance. Bull signals are accumulating in the sideways trend, with strong volume confirmation. If upper resistance at 442 dollars breaks, it opens the path to 626 target; lower support at 328 must hold. Despite BTC bearish pressure, ZEC shows independent strength. Watch: RSI above 50, MACD expansion. Momentum confluence is turning bullish, cautious optimism.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/zec-rsi-macd-analysis-january-27-2026-momentum-evaluation
