WLD is positioned at a critical crossroads at the $0.48 level. Although the downtrend dominates, oversold signals in RSI and the strength of support levels make both bullish and bearish scenarios possible; traders should be prepared for both directions.
Current Market Situation
WLD is currently trading at the $0.48 level and has shown a -1.80% decline in the last 24 hours. The daily range is stuck between $0.46 – $0.49, with volume remaining at a moderate $114.99M level. The overall trend continues downward; the price is trading below EMA20 ($0.54) and the Supertrend indicator is giving a bearish signal, with $0.59 resistance in focus.
RSI at 37.37 is approaching the oversold region, carrying potential for a short-term reaction bounce. The MACD histogram is negative and supports bearish momentum. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, 10 strong levels were identified across 1D/3D/1W timeframes: 2 supports/1 resistance on 1D, 1 support/3 resistances on 3D, 1 support/4 resistances on 1W. Critical supports are $0.4510 (score:73/100) and $0.4785 (65/100), resistance at $0.5054 (67/100). The market is awaiting a clear breakout.
Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario
How Does This Scenario Occur?
The bullish scenario is triggered when the price first breaks above the $0.5054 resistance with increased volume and closes above it. This breakout would give momentum toward EMA20 ($0.54) and Supertrend resistance at $0.59. Confirmation signals such as positive divergence in RSI (RSI making higher lows while price makes new lows) or the MACD histogram crossing above the zero line should be sought. A +50% increase in volume and green candle formations (hammer or engulfing) would strengthen this scenario. Bitcoin testing the $90,274 resistance could support an altcoin rally. Oversold RSI facilitates short-term reaction buys; a bounce from 1D supports is expected in MTF.
Invalidation: The bullish scenario is invalidated if the $0.4785 support breaks. Traders should use $0.4785 as stop-loss on long positions and confirm the breakout with 1H/4H closes.
Target Levels
First target $0.59 (Supertrend resistance), followed by $0.65-0.70 Fibonacci extension levels. Long-term bull target $0.8008 (score:31/100), representing a 67% upside potential. R/R ratio around 1:3 from current levels; manageable with trailing stop after $0.5054 breakout. If resistances on higher timeframes (3D/1W) are cleared, $0.90+ levels could come into play.
Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario
Risk Factors
The bearish scenario activates with the break of $0.4785 or $0.4510 supports on volume. MACD reinforcing bearish momentum, Supertrend turning down, and RSI dropping below 30 act as triggers. Bitcoin breaking the $88,347 support increases selling pressure on altcoins. Red candles and volume spikes, along with death cross (remaining below EMA20), heighten risk. The abundance of 3D/1W resistances in MTF (total 7R) could limit upside. The overall market downtrend and low volume facilitate a breakdown.
Invalidation: The bearish scenario is canceled if the $0.5054 resistance breaks. Short positions should use stop-loss above $0.5054, with breakout confirmed by 4H close.
Protection Levels
First protection $0.4510, with potential drop below $0.40 on breakout. Main bear target $0.2167 (score:22/100), carrying 55% downside potential. R/R around 1:2.5; reaction buys at lower supports (Fib 0.618) should be monitored. If 1W support breaks, $0.30 levels enter the radar.
Which Scenario to Watch?
Key triggers: Close above $0.5054 (bull confirmation), close below $0.4785 (bear confirmation). Volume profile is critical; >$150M for bull, spike volume for bear. RSI divergence and MACD crossovers provide early warnings. Candle formations (doji for indecision, marubozu for direction) and volatility (ATR increase) should be monitored. 1H/4H timeframe confirmations are essential in both scenarios; avoid impulsive entries. The market is neutral, awaiting a clear breakout.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC at $89,336 with -2.28% decline in downtrend; Supertrend bearish. WLD is highly correlated with BTC (as an altcoin). If BTC breaks $88,347 support, WLD tests $0.4510; drop below $86,552 leads to $0.40s. Conversely, BTC breaking above $90,274 strengthens WLD bull scenario. Rising BTC dominance triggers altcoin sales; BTC supports ($88,347, $86,552, $84,681) and resistances ($90,274, $92,496, $94,276) should be monitored as proxies for WLD.
Conclusion and Monitoring Notes
Both scenarios for WLD are equally likely; breakout direction at the $0.48 pivot will be decisive. Monitoring points: $0.5054 (bull trigger), $0.4785/$0.4510 (bear trigger), RSI/MACD divergences, volume profile, and BTC movements. Prioritize daily/4H charts; follow live data from WLD Spot Analysis and WLD Futures Analysis pages. Risk management is essential: Limit position size to 1-2% risk, use trailing stops. Let this analysis help develop your own decisions.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/wld-rise-or-fall-january-21-2026-scenario-analysis
