Timothy Morano
Jan 18, 2026 09:00
Toncoin trades at $1.72 with neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential upside to $1.85-$2.30 range within 4-6 weeks despite near-term consolidation risks.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.76-$1.78
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.85-$2.30 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.76
• Critical support: $1.68
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions from recent crypto Twitter discussions are limited, recent analytical reports provide insight into Toncoin’s trajectory. According to CoinCodex’s January 4th analysis, “Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $2.39 by Jan 9, 2026,” though this target was not achieved within the specified timeframe.
Blockchain.News provided a more nuanced Toncoin forecast on January 5th, noting that “TON price prediction shows bullish momentum toward $2.30 target within 30 days, but overbought RSI at 71.64 suggests near-term consolidation around $1.89 resistance level.” Their updated January 11th analysis observed that “Toncoin consolidates around $1.76 as analysts maintain $2.40 targets by January 12, while technical indicators show neutral RSI at 54.99 and key resistance at $1.82.”
According to on-chain data analysis platforms, these predictions align with broader market consolidation patterns observed across Layer 1 blockchain tokens during January 2026.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
Toncoin’s current technical picture presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Trading at $1.72, TON sits below its 20-day SMA of $1.77 and significantly below its 200-day SMA of $2.46, indicating the asset remains in a longer-term downtrend despite recent stabilization.
The RSI reading of 49.65 places Toncoin in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral positioning provides room for movement in either direction based on market catalysts. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled, with the MACD line and signal line converging at 0.0213.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON positioned at 0.33 within the bands, closer to the lower band at $1.61 than the upper band at $1.93. This positioning suggests potential for upward movement toward the middle band (20-day SMA) at $1.77. The daily ATR of $0.08 indicates moderate volatility, providing reasonable price movement expectations.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The primary bullish case for this TON price prediction centers on breaking above the immediate resistance at $1.76. A sustained move above this level could target the strong resistance at $1.76, followed by the 20-day SMA at $1.77.
If Toncoin manages to reclaim the $1.80-$1.82 resistance zone mentioned in recent analyst reports, the path opens toward the $1.85-$1.90 range. The ultimate bullish target aligns with previous analytical forecasts suggesting $2.30-$2.40 potential within the next 4-6 weeks.
Technical confirmation for this bullish Toncoin forecast would require RSI moving above 55-60 levels and MACD histogram turning positive, indicating renewed buying momentum.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for TON involves a breakdown below the immediate support at $1.70. Such a move could trigger selling pressure toward the strong support at $1.68, with further downside risk toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.61.
A break below $1.61 would invalidate near-term bullish scenarios and could lead to a test of deeper support levels around $1.50-$1.55. Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting the TON ecosystem, or technical breakdown below key moving averages.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, potential entry strategies for TON include waiting for a pullback to the $1.70-$1.68 support zone for long positions, with a stop-loss below $1.61 to limit downside risk.
Alternatively, momentum traders could consider entries above $1.76 with confirmation of increasing volume and RSI moving above 55. This approach targets the $1.80-$1.85 range while maintaining stops below $1.72.
For risk management, position sizing should account for the daily ATR of $0.08, suggesting potential daily moves of 4-5% in either direction. Given the neutral technical picture, gradual position building rather than large single entries may prove more effective.
Conclusion
This TON price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Toncoin’s near-term prospects. While trading below key moving averages, the neutral RSI and stabilizing MACD provide foundation for potential upside toward the $1.85-$2.30 range over the next month.
The confluence of analytical targets around $2.30-$2.40 from multiple sources supports this medium-term Toncoin forecast, though investors should monitor the critical $1.76 resistance level for breakout confirmation. As with all cryptocurrency price predictions, these forecasts carry significant uncertainty and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260118-ton-price-prediction-targets-185-230-range-by-february-2026
