Altcoins are quietly absorbing liquidity while Bitcoin struggles to hold its share. As smaller tokens capture more volume, it’s clear that this isn’t just hype-driven buying. Instead, real users are moving, transacting, and committing.
From 2025 into early 2026, there has been a decisive change in volume leadership. Bitcoin’s [BTC] volume dominance, which hovered near 45-50% in early 2025, has declined steadily towards the 30-35% range.
On the contrary, altcoin volumes expanded aggressively, climbing above 55% and frequently pushing towards 60-65%. This marks one of the strongest sustained periods of altcoin dominance on the charts.
During the same window, Ethereum’s [ETH] volume rose modestly, fluctuating between 20% and 30%.
Source: X
ETH benefited from ecosystem growth and scaling adoption, yet it did not fully capture the speculative flows driving smaller altcoins. Meanwhile, Bitcoin‘s price rallied sharply in early 2025, but its volume lagged. This divergence hinted at profit rotation, rather than fresh Bitcoin accumulation.
Higher risk appetite, leverage expansion, and narrative-driven trades have fueled altcoins’ recent dominance. To sustain this trend, liquidity and sentiment must remain strong.
A macro shock or Bitcoin volatility spike could rapidly reverse it. Investors should closely track relative volume shifts, BTC price-volume divergence, and ETH’s participation strength.
On-chain data insights
A look at the on-chain data revealed a clear gap between wallet growth and real usage. That gap matters for volume.
Ethereum’s address count rose steadily from about 300 million to 370 million. The growth stayed smooth. There were no sudden spikes in its growth. This alluded to organic adoption, not hype.
However, Ethereum seems to be trailing on the daily active addresses front. As a result, many wallets remain inactive. That limits short-term transaction volume.
Source: TokenTerminal
On the contrary, BNB Chain tells us a stronger usage story. Addresses climbed past 730 million. More importantly, daily active users led at roughly 4.4 million. Since users transact often, volume stays elevated, lowering fees reinforced in this cycle.
Meanwhile, Tron [TRON], Near [NEAR], and Solana [SOL] have seen some consistency too. For them, activity hasn’t dramatically surged or collapsed. Instead, it has held over time. Therefore, transaction volume has remained stable.
In short, sustained activity drives sustained volume. Regular transactions deepen liquidity. Turnover improves too. Such activity reflects commitment, not speculation. FOMO creates wallets while usage creates volume.
Technical overview
Here, it’s worth pointing out that dominance has compressed into a tight falling wedge on the charts. While sellers have pushed lower highs, buyers have been defending a converging support line.
Tension is building. With the volatility dropping, reactions are likely to be firm. Especially since market energy has been coiling. Bitcoin dominance historically breaks hard from such structures.
Source: X
A decisive move above the wedge resistance would flip sentiment and accelerate rotation. Then, sidelined capital can chase beta, driving a parabolic expansion in non-top-10 market share towards the 16.24% marker from the current 7.09%.
Until then, compression rules. However, each small bounce increases pressure. Consequently, a breakout would be near and the follow-through will be explosive.
Final Thoughts
- Rising volumes and consistent on-chain activity highlighted capital rotating beyond Bitcoin, driven by real usage.
- Tight falling wedge’s direction of breakout will likely decide whether altcoin outperformance continues or reverses.
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-dominance-altcoins-and-the-odds-of-this-breakout-on-the-charts/
