Polymarket Partners With Parcl to Bring Prediction Markets to Housing

Real estate prediction markets are moving into housing as Polymarket and Parcl agree to launch new markets tied to daily home price data.

The partnership gives traders a clear way to follow price direction across major United States cities without owning property.

Real Estate Prediction Markets Emergence

Polymarket and Parcl have confirmed a new partnership aimed at housing prices. The move followed a public exchange between both entities on December 30, when the idea of housing markets was raised online.

Within days, that discussion turned into a formal announcement.

As announced, the agreement brings together firms with two different roles. Polymarket will host and manage the markets, while Parcl will supply the data used to settle them.

Parcl’s daily housing price indices track price movement across large US cities and are published openly.

These figures will decide market outcomes, giving users a single reference point. The markets will allow traders to take positions on whether a city housing index ends higher or lower over a fixed period.

Time frames will include monthly, quarterly, and yearly outcomes. Some listings will also focus on price levels, settling when an index reaches a stated mark.

Housing has long been difficult to trade without buying property or waiting years. By using index data instead of individual homes, real estate prediction markets offer a faster and simpler option.

All settlement data will be visible and open for review, reducing disputes.

Outside this partnership, Polymarket secured an agreement with TKO Group in November 2025.

The deal brings crypto-based prediction markets to UFC and Zuffa Boxing events worldwide.

What the Launch Means for Housing Data Access

The first real estate prediction markets will focus on high-volume housing cities in the United States.

Both companies said more cities will be added based on user interest. Each market will link to a Parcl page showing the final index number, past price moves, and how the index is calculated.

Parcl chief executive Trevor Bacon said housing prices need a clear reference point and that prediction markets provide a new way to express views.

Polymarket marketing lead Matthew Modabber said strong data is key for fair outcomes and that Parcl indices meet that need.

The rollout will happen in stages, with both teams working on standard formats for future listings.

As more markets go live, real estate prediction markets could become a regular way to follow housing trends without buying a home.

In related news, Polymarket recently received CFTC approval to operate as a regulated U.S. exchange. This will allow direct market access under updated compliance and monitoring rules.

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