Felix Pinkston
Jan 02, 2026 14:16
Toncoin shows bullish momentum with MACD histogram turning positive and RSI at 62.34. Analysts target $2.28 within 30 days, representing 32% upside from current $1.73 level.
Toncoin (TON) is displaying compelling technical signals that suggest a significant price breakout could be imminent. With the cryptocurrency trading at $1.73 and showing bullish momentum indicators, our comprehensive TON price prediction analysis reveals multiple catalysts pointing toward substantial upside potential in the coming weeks.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.91 (+10.4%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.15-$2.28 range (+24% to +32%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.74 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.42 (strong support level)
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst forecasts paint a notably optimistic picture for Toncoin’s near-term trajectory. Peter Zhang from Blockchain.News has issued the most aggressive TON price prediction, targeting $2.28 within 30 days based on bullish MACD signals and oversold RSI conditions that have since improved. This represents a potential 40% upside from recent lows.
Additional predictions from Blockchain.News converge around the $1.75-$2.15 range, with analysts citing the critical $1.69 resistance level as a key breakout point. The consensus among these recent Toncoin forecast reports suggests medium confidence in a recovery scenario, with technical indicators providing the primary justification for bullish sentiment.
What’s particularly noteworthy is the alignment between multiple analysts on similar price targets, indicating a shared interpretation of the technical setup. The $1.91-$2.15 range appears multiple times across predictions, suggesting this could be a realistic medium-term price corridor for TON.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
The current technical landscape for Toncoin presents a compelling case for upward momentum. With TON’s RSI sitting at 62.34, the cryptocurrency has moved well above oversold conditions while remaining below overbought territory, providing room for additional gains. This neutral RSI reading supports the medium-term bullish thesis without suggesting immediate exhaustion.
The MACD histogram reading of 0.0309 represents a crucial bullish signal, indicating that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. When combined with the MACD line at 0.0162 crossing above the signal line at -0.0147, this creates a classic bullish crossover pattern that often precedes significant price moves.
Toncoin’s position relative to its Bollinger Bands is particularly revealing. Trading at 1.0308 times the upper band indicates the price is testing resistance but hasn’t yet experienced the rejection that would signal distribution. The middle band at $1.55 has been convincingly reclaimed, providing a foundation for the current rally.
Volume analysis shows $7.96 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, which while moderate, has been sufficient to drive price discovery above key moving averages. The fact that TON is trading above its 7, 12, and 26-period moving averages suggests the short-term trend remains intact.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
Our primary TON price target focuses on the $2.28 level identified by analyst Peter Zhang, which aligns with technical resistance zones from previous price action. For this scenario to unfold, Toncoin needs to break convincingly above the immediate resistance at $1.74, which would likely trigger algorithmic buying and potentially short covering.
The path to $2.28 would involve several interim targets. First, the $1.91 level represents a logical pause point, roughly 10% above current levels. This coincides with previous support-turned-resistance zones. Breaking $1.91 with volume would open the door to the $2.15-$2.28 range, where we expect the next major resistance cluster.
Key technical requirements for the bullish scenario include maintaining support above $1.65 (the 7-day SMA) and seeing the MACD histogram continue expanding. Additionally, the RSI would need to remain below 80 to avoid short-term overbought conditions that could trigger profit-taking.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The primary risk to our Toncoin forecast lies in a failure to hold current support levels. If TON breaks below $1.65, it would signal that the current bounce is merely a dead-cat bounce rather than a genuine recovery. This would likely target the $1.42 support level, representing an 18% decline from current levels.
A more severe bearish scenario would involve breaking the $1.42 support, which could open the door to a retest of the 52-week low at $1.44. Given that Toncoin is still trading 51.54% below its 52-week high of $3.56, there remains significant technical damage that needs to be repaired through sustained accumulation.
Warning signs to monitor include a MACD histogram rollover, RSI breaking below 50, or a decisive break of the 20-day SMA at $1.55. Any of these developments would necessitate a reassessment of the bullish thesis.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Toncoin technical analysis, the current price level around $1.73 presents a reasonable entry point for those seeking exposure to the anticipated rally. However, more conservative traders might consider waiting for a slight pullback to the $1.67-$1.69 range, which would provide a better risk-reward ratio.
For immediate entries, implementing a stop-loss at $1.60 (just below the 50-day SMA) would limit downside risk to approximately 7.5% while maintaining exposure to the potential 32% upside to our $2.28 target. This creates an attractive 4:1 risk-reward ratio that justifies the position.
Position sizing should account for TON’s daily ATR of $0.08, which indicates relatively high volatility. Conservative investors should limit TON exposure to 2-3% of their portfolio, while more aggressive traders comfortable with cryptocurrency volatility could consider 5-7% allocation.
The question of whether to buy or sell TON ultimately depends on individual risk tolerance, but the technical evidence suggests the path of least resistance is higher, particularly if broader cryptocurrency market conditions remain supportive.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish TON price prediction with a primary target of $2.28 within the next 30 days, representing 32% upside potential from current levels. This forecast carries medium confidence based on the alignment of multiple technical indicators and analyst consensus.
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include the MACD histogram maintaining positive momentum, RSI holding above 50, and most critically, a decisive break above the $1.74 resistance level with accompanying volume expansion. Invalidation signals would include a break below $1.60 or a MACD bearish crossover.
The timeline for this Toncoin forecast extends through the end of January 2026, with interim checkpoints at the $1.91 level expected within 7-10 days if momentum continues. Traders and investors should prepare for volatility along the way, as cryptocurrency markets rarely move in straight lines, even during strong trending periods.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260102-price-prediction-target-ton-228-within-30-days-as-technical
