Daily Market Update: Stock Futures Jump While Bitcoin Struggles Below $90K

TLDR

• Stock futures rose on Friday as Wall Street began 2026 trading after three straight years of double-digit gains
• S&P 500 gained over 16% in 2025 while Nasdaq jumped more than 20% for the year
• Bitcoin traded around $89,000 but remained stuck below $90,000 after declining 6% in 2025
• Bitcoin ETFs recorded $3.5 billion in outflows during November and $1.1 billion in December
• Gold and silver advanced to start 2026, building on their best annual performance since 1979

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Stock futures climbed early Friday as traders returned from the holiday break. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.4% while S&P 500 futures rose 0.5%.

E-Mini S&P 500 Mar 26 (ES=F)

Nasdaq futures led the advance with a 1% increase. The tech-heavy index benefited from positive news out of Asia that pushed a regional tech gauge to record highs.

The 2025 trading year ended with strong overall performance despite a weak finish. The S&P 500 posted gains of over 16% for the full year.

The Nasdaq Composite led major indexes with a rise of more than 20%. This marked the third consecutive year of double-digit percentage gains for Wall Street.

Every Wall Street forecaster tracked by Bloomberg predicts stocks will rally for a fourth straight year in 2026. However, several risks remain on the horizon.

Stock Market Outlook and Federal Reserve

The artificial intelligence boom could lose momentum this year. Economic conditions in the United States could shift unexpectedly.

President Trump’s tariff policies remain uncertain. Clarity on his most sweeping tariffs could emerge this month.

The Santa Claus rally failed to materialize for investors. The S&P 500 fell nearly 1% during the traditional rally period.

This marked the third consecutive down Santa period. The rally typically covers the last five trading days of December and first two of January.

Gold and silver started the year with gains. Both precious metals built on their strongest annual performance since 1979.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates in December. Markets are pricing in two more rate reductions in 2026.

Bitcoin Struggles as ETF Outflows Mount

Bitcoin rose 1.5% to trade around $88,898 on Friday. The cryptocurrency remained trapped in a narrow range between $85,000 and $90,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price

The world’s largest cryptocurrency fell 6% in 2025. Bitcoin posted losses of over 20% in the fourth quarter alone.

Bitcoin ETFs experienced heavy outflows in the final months of 2025. Net outflows reached $3.5 billion in November and $1.1 billion in December.

Institutional demand cooled after strong buying earlier in the year. Many large investors entered a consolidation phase following Bitcoin’s October peak.

Bitcoin failed to benefit from the year-end rally that lifted stocks and gold. The cryptocurrency remained focused on internal market dynamics rather than broader financial conditions.

Altcoins posted moderate gains on Friday. Ethereum rose 1.6% to $3,025.92 while XRP gained 1.7% to $1.87.

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