Still trying to catch your breath in 2025? Just wait till next year

2026 for data centres means acceleration, innovation, and transformation 

Do you feel like the last year has flown by, while at the same time, a decade’s worth of innovation and growth has somehow been compressed into 12 months. 

Yes? So, you obviously work in the data centre industry too. 

Last December, it might have felt like the last few years of breakneck growth was transitioning into something slightly more sedate. Instead, things just seem to have accelerated. More mega investment plans announced, faster GPUs unveiled, more government interest in the sector. 

Any respite over Christmas will be brief, not least as data centre operators and customers weigh up how their infrastructure has coped with the holiday shopping period. 

So, assuming you do get a break at some point in December, what can you expect next year? 

The Numbers Don’t Lie: Growth Accelerates Into 2026 

The pace of development will be just as rapid. Earlier this year CBRE said vacancy rates continued to fall, while ever persistent power constraints were not enough to hold back growth. Instead, hyperscalers and cloud operators would look for alternative locations.  

Around the same time, Knight Frank forecast that global live IT capacity for 2025 would hit 55,646 MW, up 22 percent on the previous year. Next year, things will cruise another 20 percent higher to 66,504 MW.  

Yes, that’s a slight tempering of the headline growth rate. But it masks spectacular growth in some key markets. The Middle East data centre sector in particular is set to show almost 50 percent growth next year. 

And that was also before the announcement of another wave of massive investments. Meta, in July, unveiled its plans for a string of next generation data centers dubbed Titan. Are they going to be big? Well, Mark Zuckerberg illustrated how the floorplan of one of these monster facilities would cover most of Manhattan. 

Is this likely to be mirrored by other mega vendors? Google is raising over $3bn from a bond sale to finance further AI expansion, following a $6.75bn sale earlier this year. So, it doesn’t look like the big tech giants will be closing their wallets and taking off their high-viz vests anytime soon. 

But it’s one thing to build a data centre the size of Manhattan. It’s another to build multiple data centres that can service said city.  

AI is undoubtedly driving growth, but as models and applications get to work on real world problems, latency and throughput will become more important, so you can expect more data centre activity at the edge.  

Welcome to the Spotlight 

Whether greenfield or brownfield, this all means data centres will be ever more visible, and not just literally. It’s inevitable that our industry is going to attract more scrutiny and political attention.  

This will come from multiple angles. National and local governments are desperate to tempt data centre operations onto their turf, for the jobs and investment they bring and support downstream. They are also conscious of the need to establish some degree of data and AI sovereignty.  

At the same time, governments have to pay attention to the sustainability question around data centres.  

There’s no getting away from the fact that data centres absorb a growing proportion of electricity production, just as there is a broader push towards electrification. If consumer electricity prices go up because of data centres’ power use, that will feed through to unease and resentment. And a Manhattan-sized data centre on anyone’s doorstep is hardly going to go unnoticed. All politics is local after all. 

This should mean the sweeping statements we’ve seen from political leaders over the last year or so start turning into real world policies. These need to fuel real world progress in turning around planning holdups or speeding up electrical hookups just so builders can break ground. But we should also expect more detail on what data and AI sovereignty really means, and how this affects what is built where. 

Broader geopolitical questions will become more pressing in 2026. The White House is keen to keep the US’s AI edge, and has already restricted NVIDIA exports to China. More recently, President Trump has mused that Jensen Huang will have to keep his top end chips exclusively for US users.  

It’s impossible to predict what will happen for sure, except to say that whoever is in the Whitehouse has more bearing on what you have in your data centre than at anytime since the early 1990s. [Yes, datacentres did exist in the early 1990s. And so did export controls.] 

All of this suggests ever more uncertainty around the data centre industry. But I prefer to  look at the upside, which is that these pressures and uncertainties will also drive innovation. 

We know that ever faster GPUs will suck in ever more power and throw out ever more heat. That will demand innovation in cooling, specifically liquid cooling. The mega data centres on the drawing board at Meta will demand cooling solutions that are highly efficient, but can also be built out quickly and easily, as will the new facilities being built in the Middle East. Those edge sites will demand flexible cooling architectures that can be adapted to specific locations – yet do not leave operators constantly reinventing the wheel. 

So, not only will we see increased take up of liquid cooling, but we will see a shift to modular, scalable systems that can be easily adapted to a myriad of locations. Think standardised technology that can be easily tuned for multiple installations, rather than bespoke and expensive. 

And the heat they remove will still have to go somewhere. So, brilliant engineers will focus on novel, useful ways to reuse the vast amounts of heat our increasingly vast datacentres are going to be producing. 

The case has already been proved with district heating projects, whether at Queen Mary University of London, or Stockholm Data Parks. And there are plenty of proof cases for reusing excess heat for hot water and heating swimming pools. 

But we should also expect more initiatives around reusing heat for agriculture, and increasingly for a wider variety of industrial processes. Lighter industries at first, but hyperscalers’ sites will be producing heat on a truly industrial scale, so we need industrial processes to match. 

With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility 

We all know that data centres are inextricably intertwined with society at large. But as the importance of data centres becomes more apparent, something else happens. 

Businesses, governments, and citizens begin to understand that data centres are, indeed, essential critical infrastructure. That means vindication for those of us who’ve been arguing exactly that for years. But it also means responsibilities. 

So, we should prepare for growing awareness of the need for resiliency, standards, and reliability both at the broad data centre level and for the specific technologies within them such as liquid cooling. 

As data centres step further into the public eye, our role as the backbone of the digital economy is no longer in question. With that visibility comes scrutiny – from governments, regulators, and the public alike. Rather than resist it, our industry must be ready to explain its value, and show how we’re enabling progress, sustainably and transparently. 

So, my biggest prediction is that we will see a more mature, more responsible and more engaged industry. One that doesn’t turn away from its responsibilities but embraces them.  

One that brings the same innovative, methodical, engineering-led approach we’ve relied on to get here to solving the inevitable challenges that being “here” creates.  

Because the alternative is not sustainable. Not next year, and certainly not in the years to come.