Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have seen a rapid recovery following Monday’s turmoil.
While uncertainty continues as to whether this recovery will continue, Singapore-based analysis firm QCP Capital analyzed the latest state of the market.
Accordingly, the analysis firm said that the market is currently in a wait-and-see mode, which is stable but far from easing.
At this point, Bitcoin has recovered by about 5% from recent lows and is consolidating around $95,000, while stocks and currencies remain stable ahead of next week’s Fed meeting.
Markets expect the next catalyst to be a potential change in the Fed chairmanship, not a Fed decision, according to QCP analysts.
At this point, prediction markets are moving aggressively, placing the probability of Kevin Hassett becoming the next Fed Chair at around 85%, while Donald Trump is expected to make his decision official in early 2026.
With only a few days left until the final interest rate decision for 2025, the FED will make its decision without new CPI or NFP data, meaning the FED’s job will be more difficult than ever.
However, futures still suggest a 25 basis point rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting is around 90% likely.
Analysts noted that the next risky event to follow in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will be the MSCI index conformity review that will take place on January 15, adding that it could be a significant volatility trigger for institutional Bitcoin bull Strategy and Strategy-related flows.
In conclusion, QCP Capital stated that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are stable for now, but this stability is an unsettling stability that awaits clarity.
“With macroeconomic catalysts weakening and uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s leadership increasing, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are effectively in a pause and wait-and-see mode until policymakers deliver the next decisive signal.”
*This is not investment advice.
Source: https://en.bitcoinsistemi.com/what-is-the-technical-outlook-for-bitcoin-btc-what-to-expect-in-the-coming-days-analysis-company-shares/
