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A six-year data review shows five large and mid-cap cryptocurrencies often gain during December. However, their “Santa rally” success is clustered in specific bull and recovery years, not every Christmas. The analysis covers December performance from 2019 to 2024. It focuses on USD returns for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, Litecoin and Monero. Bitcoin: Big December Moves in Bull Cycles Bitcoin delivered its strongest December in 2020, rising about 48% from roughly $19,700 to $29,000. It posted another solid December gain in 2023, adding about 12% as ETF optimism returned. By contrast, Bitcoin fell about 5% in December 2019 and nearly 19% in 2021. It slipped around 4% in 2022 and slightly over 3% in 2024. The pattern is clear. Bitcoin’s December rallies appear mainly in strong bull or recovery phases, not during tightening or late-cycle stress. Around Christmas, the biggest moves usually came after the holiday. In 2020 and 2023, the week after Christmas outperformed the week before. Ethereum: Follows Bitcoin’s Cycle, With Strong 2020 and 2023 Ethereum showed a similar December profile to Bitcoin, with standout gains in 2020 and 2023. In December 2020, ETH climbed about 21%, from around $615 to $750. During December 2023, Ethereum added roughly 11%, tracking the broader market recovery. Both rallies coincided with improving macro sentiment and stronger network activity. Yet Ethereum fell sharply in bearish or late-cycle years. It dropped about 15% in December 2019, 20% in 2021 and around 8% in 2024, with a smaller 8% decline in 2022. Overall, Ethereum tends to rally in December when liquidity is ample and risk appetite is high. When macro conditions tighten, its December performance turns negative quickly. BNB: Explosive December Rallies in 2020 and 2023 The formerly labeled Binance Coin shows some of the most dramatic December gains in the dataset. BNB rose about 19% in December 2020 as Binance volumes surged late in the bull run. Its biggest move came in December 2023, jumping roughly 37% from around $228 to $312. That rally followed improving clarity around Binance’s legal position and a rebound in spot volumes. However, BNB also suffered heavy December drawdowns. It fell about 13% in 2019, 18% in 2021 and another 18% in 2022 during exchange-related FUD. BNB’s December record is high beta. When sentiment swings positive, its rallies outpace Bitcoin, but its losses are deeper in stress periods. BNB 3-Month Price Chart. Source: CoinGecko Litecoin: Classic High-Beta December Play Litecoin behaved like a leveraged bet on the market’s December mood. Its strongest month was December 2020, when LTC surged about 42%, from roughly $88 to $125. That move tracked Bitcoin’s breakout and followed greater payment support, including PayPal’s crypto rollout. It cemented Litecoin’s role as a “digital silver” trade during bull-market holidays. Litecoin then struggled in later years. It dropped about 13% in 2019, nearly 30% in 2021 and around 12% in 2022. Even so, it posted modest gains of about 5% in December 2023 and an estimated 7% in 2024. These smaller rallies show Litecoin still benefits from late-year risk-on phases, especially around halving narratives. Monero: Quiet but Consistent Holiday Strength Monero stands out for its defensive but positive December pattern. It rose around 15% in December 2020 and roughly 9% in December 2022 while many coins fell. Monero also gained about 10% in December 2023, moving from the mid-$160s toward $180. Its December drawdowns in other years were relatively mild compared with major altcoins. This resilience likely reflects steady transactional demand and its privacy use case. Monero tends to act as a defensive crypto asset during periods of exchange or regulatory fear. Across 2019–2024, Monero avoided extreme December crashes and often finished the month higher. That makes it one of the more consistent late-year performers among mid-cap coins. Santa Rallies Are Selective, Not Guaranteed The data shows these five coins have delivered multiple strong Decembers, especially in 2020 and 2023. However, every coin also logged negative December returns in at least one year. Rallies cluster in bullish macro environments and recovery phases. Meanwhile, bear-market Decembers reward more defensive assets like Monero and, at times, Litecoin. For traders, the message is clear. Historical December strength exists, but each year’s macro backdrop and project-specific news still decide whether Christmas turns green.A six-year data review shows five large and mid-cap cryptocurrencies often gain during December. However, their “Santa rally” success is clustered in specific bull and recovery years, not every Christmas. The analysis covers December performance from 2019 to 2024. It focuses on USD returns for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, Litecoin and Monero. Bitcoin: Big December Moves in Bull Cycles Bitcoin delivered its strongest December in 2020, rising about 48% from roughly $19,700 to $29,000. It posted another solid December gain in 2023, adding about 12% as ETF optimism returned. By contrast, Bitcoin fell about 5% in December 2019 and nearly 19% in 2021. It slipped around 4% in 2022 and slightly over 3% in 2024. The pattern is clear. Bitcoin’s December rallies appear mainly in strong bull or recovery phases, not during tightening or late-cycle stress. Around Christmas, the biggest moves usually came after the holiday. In 2020 and 2023, the week after Christmas outperformed the week before. Ethereum: Follows Bitcoin’s Cycle, With Strong 2020 and 2023 Ethereum showed a similar December profile to Bitcoin, with standout gains in 2020 and 2023. In December 2020, ETH climbed about 21%, from around $615 to $750. During December 2023, Ethereum added roughly 11%, tracking the broader market recovery. Both rallies coincided with improving macro sentiment and stronger network activity. Yet Ethereum fell sharply in bearish or late-cycle years. It dropped about 15% in December 2019, 20% in 2021 and around 8% in 2024, with a smaller 8% decline in 2022. Overall, Ethereum tends to rally in December when liquidity is ample and risk appetite is high. When macro conditions tighten, its December performance turns negative quickly. BNB: Explosive December Rallies in 2020 and 2023 The formerly labeled Binance Coin shows some of the most dramatic December gains in the dataset. BNB rose about 19% in December 2020 as Binance volumes surged late in the bull run. Its biggest move came in December 2023, jumping roughly 37% from around $228 to $312. That rally followed improving clarity around Binance’s legal position and a rebound in spot volumes. However, BNB also suffered heavy December drawdowns. It fell about 13% in 2019, 18% in 2021 and another 18% in 2022 during exchange-related FUD. BNB’s December record is high beta. When sentiment swings positive, its rallies outpace Bitcoin, but its losses are deeper in stress periods. BNB 3-Month Price Chart. Source: CoinGecko Litecoin: Classic High-Beta December Play Litecoin behaved like a leveraged bet on the market’s December mood. Its strongest month was December 2020, when LTC surged about 42%, from roughly $88 to $125. That move tracked Bitcoin’s breakout and followed greater payment support, including PayPal’s crypto rollout. It cemented Litecoin’s role as a “digital silver” trade during bull-market holidays. Litecoin then struggled in later years. It dropped about 13% in 2019, nearly 30% in 2021 and around 12% in 2022. Even so, it posted modest gains of about 5% in December 2023 and an estimated 7% in 2024. These smaller rallies show Litecoin still benefits from late-year risk-on phases, especially around halving narratives. Monero: Quiet but Consistent Holiday Strength Monero stands out for its defensive but positive December pattern. It rose around 15% in December 2020 and roughly 9% in December 2022 while many coins fell. Monero also gained about 10% in December 2023, moving from the mid-$160s toward $180. Its December drawdowns in other years were relatively mild compared with major altcoins. This resilience likely reflects steady transactional demand and its privacy use case. Monero tends to act as a defensive crypto asset during periods of exchange or regulatory fear. Across 2019–2024, Monero avoided extreme December crashes and often finished the month higher. That makes it one of the more consistent late-year performers among mid-cap coins. Santa Rallies Are Selective, Not Guaranteed The data shows these five coins have delivered multiple strong Decembers, especially in 2020 and 2023. However, every coin also logged negative December returns in at least one year. Rallies cluster in bullish macro environments and recovery phases. Meanwhile, bear-market Decembers reward more defensive assets like Monero and, at times, Litecoin. For traders, the message is clear. Historical December strength exists, but each year’s macro backdrop and project-specific news still decide whether Christmas turns green.

Five Cryptocurrencies That Often Rally Around Christmas

2025/12/03 09:49

The analysis covers December performance from 2019 to 2024. It focuses on USD returns for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, Litecoin and Monero.

Bitcoin: Big December Moves in Bull Cycles

Bitcoin delivered its strongest December in 2020, rising about 48% from roughly $19,700 to $29,000. It posted another solid December gain in 2023, adding about 12% as ETF optimism returned.

By contrast, Bitcoin fell about 5% in December 2019 and nearly 19% in 2021. It slipped around 4% in 2022 and slightly over 3% in 2024.

The pattern is clear. Bitcoin’s December rallies appear mainly in strong bull or recovery phases, not during tightening or late-cycle stress.

Around Christmas, the biggest moves usually came after the holiday. In 2020 and 2023, the week after Christmas outperformed the week before.

Ethereum: Follows Bitcoin’s Cycle, With Strong 2020 and 2023

Ethereum showed a similar December profile to Bitcoin, with standout gains in 2020 and 2023. In December 2020, ETH climbed about 21%, from around $615 to $750.

During December 2023, Ethereum added roughly 11%, tracking the broader market recovery. Both rallies coincided with improving macro sentiment and stronger network activity.

Yet Ethereum fell sharply in bearish or late-cycle years. It dropped about 15% in December 2019, 20% in 2021 and around 8% in 2024, with a smaller 8% decline in 2022.

Overall, Ethereum tends to rally in December when liquidity is ample and risk appetite is high. When macro conditions tighten, its December performance turns negative quickly.

BNB: Explosive December Rallies in 2020 and 2023

The formerly labeled Binance Coin shows some of the most dramatic December gains in the dataset. BNB rose about 19% in December 2020 as Binance volumes surged late in the bull run.

Its biggest move came in December 2023, jumping roughly 37% from around $228 to $312. That rally followed improving clarity around Binance’s legal position and a rebound in spot volumes.

However, BNB also suffered heavy December drawdowns. It fell about 13% in 2019, 18% in 2021 and another 18% in 2022 during exchange-related FUD.

BNB’s December record is high beta. When sentiment swings positive, its rallies outpace Bitcoin, but its losses are deeper in stress periods.

BNB 3-Month Price Chart. Source: CoinGecko

Litecoin: Classic High-Beta December Play

Litecoin behaved like a leveraged bet on the market’s December mood. Its strongest month was December 2020, when LTC surged about 42%, from roughly $88 to $125.

That move tracked Bitcoin’s breakout and followed greater payment support, including PayPal’s crypto rollout. It cemented Litecoin’s role as a “digital silver” trade during bull-market holidays.

Litecoin then struggled in later years. It dropped about 13% in 2019, nearly 30% in 2021 and around 12% in 2022.

Even so, it posted modest gains of about 5% in December 2023 and an estimated 7% in 2024. These smaller rallies show Litecoin still benefits from late-year risk-on phases, especially around halving narratives.

Monero: Quiet but Consistent Holiday Strength

Monero stands out for its defensive but positive December pattern. It rose around 15% in December 2020 and roughly 9% in December 2022 while many coins fell.

Monero also gained about 10% in December 2023, moving from the mid-$160s toward $180. Its December drawdowns in other years were relatively mild compared with major altcoins.

This resilience likely reflects steady transactional demand and its privacy use case. Monero tends to act as a defensive crypto asset during periods of exchange or regulatory fear.

Across 2019–2024, Monero avoided extreme December crashes and often finished the month higher. That makes it one of the more consistent late-year performers among mid-cap coins.

Santa Rallies Are Selective, Not Guaranteed

The data shows these five coins have delivered multiple strong Decembers, especially in 2020 and 2023.

However, every coin also logged negative December returns in at least one year.

Rallies cluster in bullish macro environments and recovery phases. Meanwhile, bear-market Decembers reward more defensive assets like Monero and, at times, Litecoin.

For traders, the message is clear. Historical December strength exists, but each year’s macro backdrop and project-specific news still decide whether Christmas turns green.

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