Hedera Hashgraph Trend On Edge: What the $0.15 Monthly Close Means for Traders

• HBAR struggles near $0.145 as the 0.236 Fibonacci support at $0.150 fails to hold.
• Critical monthly and weekly closes will determine whether the token enters a bullish or bearish phase.
• A breakdown below $0.1435 could trigger deeper corrections, while a rebound above $0.163 is needed to restore bullish momentum.

Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is at a pivotal juncture as it trades near $0.145, attempting to find stability after several weeks of downward pressure. Analysts at Inca Trading highlighted that the upcoming monthly close will be decisive.

A close above $0.15 could reinforce a structurally bullish case, with the next confirmation zone lying between $0.20 and $0.25.

Conversely, a monthly close below $0.15 may indicate that the recovery from 2024–25 lows has ended, potentially signaling a shift toward a more dominant bearish trend on the higher timeframe.

The monthly close acts as a benchmark for investors and traders alike. In the current scenario, HBAR remains in a delicate balance, hovering just above key long-term support levels.

The market appears to be weighing whether buyers can maintain control or if sellers will push prices lower, defining the broader trend for the months ahead.

Also Read: Hedera (HBAR) Corrects Near $0.146, But 350% Market Cap Gain Possible in Altseason

Hedera Technical Indicators Signal Weak Momentum

On the weekly charts, Hedera was seen breaking below the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $0.150, which was previously supporting it when markets fell.

It marks a decrease in bullish market momentum, indicating a stronger level at $0.126 as support on the Fibonacci charts. It has been a strong support level for a while and hence important for market trend maintenance.

Exponential moving averages offer more information. The 20-week EMA at $0.163 acts as the first level of resistance, and then there is a stronger level of resistance comprised of the 50-week EMA at $0.187 and the 100-week EMA at $0.190. For an upward trend to resume, HBAR will need to break these points.

On the downside, the major long-term support is at $0.1435 (200-week EMA). A close below there on a weekly basis, and the sellers may be in full power, making the region important from a structural perspective.

Cautious signs come from momentum indicators. The RSI on the weekly chart is 38, indicating that buying power is decreasing but not yet in oversold levels.

This creates space for sellers to take control, but it also suggests that a minor recovery could be expected if the RSI reaches oversold readings soon.

The MACD shows bearish momentum, as red bars continue to expand and the MACD line is below the signal line. No strong signs of a reversal have appeared, however.

Key Levels to Watch for Trend Reversal

The primary target for HBAR would be to protect the support zone ranging between $0.143 and $0.126. If so, it can lead to stabilization and efforts to regain plausible growth.

Breakout beyond $0.163 would initiate positive action and prospects for reaching $0.187 or $0.190. These efforts would be required to revive positive momentum to regain the mean Fibonacci value range.

Also Read: Hedera Hashgraph Price Rally Begins as HBAR Clears Key Resistance Level