- XRP struggles near $2.05 as lower highs signal continued medium-term downtrend.
- Futures open interest falls to $3.61B, reflecting reduced leverage and cautious trading.
- Franklin XRP ETF approval may drive institutional inflows amid broader market weakness.
XRP continues to trade under broad market pressure as the token struggles to regain momentum after several weeks of declining structure. The asset remains in a medium-term downtrend, yet traders are watching for signs of stabilization as price action approaches key levels.
Besides the technical moves, the approval of a new XRP ETF listing has introduced an additional layer of interest, offering a potential shift in sentiment as regulated products gain traction. The mix of cooling futures activity, steady outflows, and cautious price behavior creates a complex environment for traders seeking direction.
Price Action Pressures Key Technical Zones
XRP trades near the $2.05 region after multiple failed attempts to break short-term resistance. The market rejected several rallies at the Supertrend band, showing persistent selling pressure.
XRP Price Dynamics (Source: TradingView)Price bounced recently from the $1.92–$1.95 zone, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This level remains a critical support area. However, price still moves inside a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Additionally, the $2.05–$2.12 region acts as the first major ceiling. The EMAs and Supertrend line converge here. A close above this area may indicate a shift in momentum. Consequently, traders see the $2.23–$2.25 range as the next technical checkpoint.
Leverage Activity and Spot Flows Show Cautious Behavior
Source: CoinglassOpen interest in XRP futures surged earlier in 2025 and peaked above $9 billion during heavy volatility phases. That period showed aggressive speculation across derivatives markets.
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However, recent data shows open interest falling toward $3.61 billion. This signals reduced leverage and cooling momentum as traders avoid oversized risk positions.
Source: CoinglassMoreover, spot flows reflect persistent capital outflows. Most sessions saw negative netflows during recent months. Several withdrawals exceeded $100 million during sharp price drops.
Only brief inflow clusters appeared during mid-July and parts of August. By November 24, netflows declined another $8.96 million as price hovered near $2.05. Hence, sentiment across spot markets remains cautious.
ETF Development Introduces a New Catalyst
Significantly, the ETF landscape for XRP continues to expand. NYSE Arca approved the listing of Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF. The exchange certified its decision to the SEC, clearing a path for launch.
The fund will trade under the ticker XRPZ and carry a 0.19% sponsor fee. Franklin plans to waive fees on its first $5 billion in assets through May 2026.
Additionally, Franklin joins a growing group of issuers offering regulated XRP tracking products. Canary Capital and Bitwise launched their spot XRP ETFs earlier in the month. The expanding ETF lineup may attract new inflows as institutions seek compliant exposure. This development offers a potential counterweight to recent market weakness.
Technical Outlook for XRP Price
Key levels remain well-defined as XRP moves deeper into its corrective phase.
Upside levels at $2.05, $2.12, and $2.23 act as immediate hurdles. A break above this cluster could extend toward $2.35 and $2.77. Downside levels include $1.95 as primary support, followed by $1.85 and the broader liquidity zone near $1.58. The medium-term resistance ceiling at $2.12 remains the level to flip for a meaningful shift in trend bias.
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The technical picture shows XRP compressing within a declining structure formed by repeated lower highs. The pattern tightens near the 4H Supertrend band, where momentum often shifts sharply. A decisive breakout from this zone could trigger volatility expansion in either direction and determine the next major move.
Will XRP Recover?
XRP’s outlook depends on whether buyers can defend the $1.95 area long enough to mount a challenge on the $2.05–$2.12 resistance band. This region controls short-term structure and will confirm momentum if reclaimed. If bullish strength builds with healthier inflows, XRP could retest $2.23 and potentially extend toward $2.35.
Failure to hold $1.95, however, increases the risk of a drop into the $1.85 zone. A deeper loss of structure would expose the macro support near $1.58, where long-term bids previously formed.
For now, XRP trades in a pivotal zone. The current narrative supports cautious optimism, but sustained inflows and a confirmed break above resistance remain essential for the next upward leg.
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