- Polymarket predicts Bitcoin may stay below $85,000 by November’s end.
- Arthur Hayes anticipates both drop and surge scenarios for Bitcoin.
- Community sentiment aligns with bearish predictions on social media.
Polymarket’s prediction market suggests a 92% chance Bitcoin will fall below $85,000 in November, triggering widespread concern among traders about potential bearish trends.
The bearish probabilities influence investor sentiment as analysts anticipate a volatile market, with Bitcoin’s future performance closely monitored by traders and institutions.
Polymarket’s Bearish Outlook: Bitcoin’s 86% Probability Below $85K
Polymarket’s prediction markets currently assign an 86% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $85,000 by the end of November. This sentiment highlights a pessimistic outlook compared to earlier months. Notably, Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, expects Bitcoin to initially drop to this range and potentially surge to $200,000 by year-end.
Market dynamics are shifting in response to these predictions. Analysts like Murphy are revising their expected price floors, pointing to a possible bottom range between $60,000 and $70,000. Immediate community reactions, particularly on Twitter and Telegram, echo this bearish sentiment, as reflected in Polymarket’s current odds.
Bitcoin’s Volatility and Market Sentiment Amidst Decline
Did you know? Bitcoin often sees increased volatility post-halving, as witnessed during May–June 2021. Prediction markets like Polymarket have accurately reflected market sentiment shifts ahead of these major moves.
Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $83,939.32, reflecting a market cap of $1.67 trillion and a market share dominance of 58.12%. Over the past 24 hours, trading volume has surged to $106.44 billion, with the price dropping by 8.93%. According to CoinMarketCap, these figures indicate a declining trend, with BTC losing 27.49% over 90 days.
Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 07:48 UTC on November 21, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCapInsights from Coincu’s research suggest that if market sentiment remains bearish, Bitcoin could witness further declines, especially if institutional interest wanes. Analysts emphasize the importance of monitoring regulatory changes that could impact market stability and investment behaviors.
| DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
Source: https://coincu.com/markets/bitcoin-price-bearish-november-predictions/
