PANews reported on November 20th that mainstream forecasting markets show a significant decrease in market expectations for a 25bps rate cut in December. Polymarket indicates a probability of approximately 29.0%, while Opinion indicates approximately 29.7%. Overall, most market participants expect interest rates to remain unchanged, with both Polymarket and Opinion showing a 69.0% probability of no change. CME FedWatch data shows a 66.3% probability of no change and a 33.7% probability of a 25bps rate cut. The newly released minutes of the October meeting show that most officials prefer to maintain the current interest rate until the end of the year, mainly due to inflation remaining above the target and the delayed release of key labor market data caused by the government shutdown.PANews reported on November 20th that mainstream forecasting markets show a significant decrease in market expectations for a 25bps rate cut in December. Polymarket indicates a probability of approximately 29.0%, while Opinion indicates approximately 29.7%. Overall, most market participants expect interest rates to remain unchanged, with both Polymarket and Opinion showing a 69.0% probability of no change. CME FedWatch data shows a 66.3% probability of no change and a 33.7% probability of a 25bps rate cut. The newly released minutes of the October meeting show that most officials prefer to maintain the current interest rate until the end of the year, mainly due to inflation remaining above the target and the delayed release of key labor market data caused by the government shutdown.
With the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision approaching, market forecasts suggest that interest rates may remain unchanged until the end of the year.
PANews reported on November 20th that mainstream forecasting markets show a significant decrease in market expectations for a 25bps rate cut in December. Polymarket indicates a probability of approximately 29.0%, while Opinion indicates approximately 29.7%. Overall, most market participants expect interest rates to remain unchanged, with both Polymarket and Opinion showing a 69.0% probability of no change. CME FedWatch data shows a 66.3% probability of no change and a 33.7% probability of a 25bps rate cut.
The newly released minutes of the October meeting show that most officials prefer to maintain the current interest rate until the end of the year, mainly due to inflation remaining above the target and the delayed release of key labor market data caused by the government shutdown.
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Crypto Market Cap Edges Up 2% as Bitcoin Approaches $118K After Fed Rate Trim
The global crypto market cap rose 2% to $4.2 trillion on Thursday, lifted by Bitcoin’s steady climb toward $118,000 after the Fed delivered its first interest rate cut of the year.
Gains were measured, however, as investors weighed the central bank’s cautious tone on future policy moves.
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Fed Rate Decision Creates Conditions for Crypto, But Traders Still Hold Back
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