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Bitcoin Holds $90K Crossroad as Retail Capitulates, Whales Accumulate

Key takeaways

  • BTC trades around $90,300 after another down day, as fear remains extreme (Fear & Greed 16).
  • Spot ETFs continue to be net sellers: BTC ETFs outflowed $373 million and ETH ETFs $74 million; SOL inflows persist with $30 million entry.
  • Long-term buyers are accumulating while short-term holders realize heavy losses; 31,800 BTC moved to exchanges at a loss recently.
  • Fed Governor Waller voiced support for a December 25 bps cut, but FOMC division keeps policy path uncertain with two-way volatility likely.
  • Near-term scenarios: stabilize ETF flows + whale bids → test $100k; continued liquidations → risk to $75k–$77k.
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