Cardano Price Crashes: Is $0.40 Next?

Cardano (ADA) price has slipped below the 0.47 mark, reflecting the same cautious tone that’s gripping broader markets after President Donald Trump’s tariff rebate proposal hit a political wall. Traders had briefly priced in optimism that stimulus-style rebates could lift consumer spending, but that narrative is fading fast — and risk assets, including crypto, are feeling it.

Cardano Price Prediction: Why ADA Price Is Falling

Trump’s delayed $2,000 tariff rebate plan has revived debate around fiscal constraints and deficit control. That uncertainty has pushed investors out of speculative plays and into defensive positioning. Cardano, like other altcoins, is suffering from the rotation — low trading volumes, declining sentiment, and a lack of fresh inflows from retail traders.

Even though the broader crypto market remains above key technical supports, ADA continues to lag, indicating weak buying pressure. Its price has now logged multiple consecutive red candles, suggesting that bulls are losing grip.

Cardano Price Prediction: The Trend Still Points Down

ADA/USD daily Chart- TradingView

On the daily chart, ADA price trades near $0.46, sitting below both the 20-day SMA (around $0.55) and the middle Bollinger Band, confirming a sustained downtrend. The Bollinger Bands are widening again, a sign of rising volatility with downside bias.

Heikin Ashi candles show a string of solid-bodied red bars with minimal upper wicks — a classic continuation pattern of bearish momentum. Each attempt to rebound toward the $0.50–$0.52 zone has met quick selling pressure.

Support sits at $0.45, followed by a critical zone around $0.40, which marks the next potential accumulation range. A decisive daily close below $0.45 could invite a retest of $0.38–$0.40. Resistance lies near $0.55, where the 20-day SMA aligns with the mid-band — a key barrier for any short-term recovery.

Momentum and Market Psychology

Sentiment around ADA price remains cautious. RSI (not shown but inferred from current momentum) likely sits near oversold territory, which hints that a short-term technical bounce is possible. However, without positive macro or ecosystem news, such a rebound may be weak and short-lived.

Investors are increasingly focused on ADA’s declining network activity and slower DeFi adoption compared to Ethereum and Solana. Combined with macro headwinds — like delayed stimulus and debt concerns — the setup keeps ADA vulnerable.

Cardano Price Prediction: Consolidation Before Rebound?

If Cardano price manages to hold above $0.45 this week, it could stage a minor relief rally toward $0.50–$0.52. But unless it breaks and sustains above the $0.55 zone, the downtrend remains intact.

Failure to hold $0.45 would confirm a continuation toward $0.38–$0.40, where long-term investors may find value. Traders should watch for declining sell volume and a flattening of the Bollinger lower band as early signs of reversal.

Cardano’s current weakness isn’t just technical — it’s psychological. Uncertainty around U.S. economic policy, especially Trump’s tariff rebate debate, is cooling speculative appetite across markets. Until clarity returns, ADA price may continue to drift lower or move sideways, consolidating before its next major impulse.

If macro conditions stabilize and Bitcoin resumes its upward trajectory, $ADA could retest $0.60 by December. But for now, the path of least resistance remains down. Cardano sits at a crucial inflection point near $0.45. Expect short-term volatility and limited upside until macro policy uncertainty clears. Only a sustained close above $0.55 would signal a shift toward recovery.