Multi-timeframe analysis
ADA Analysis — Daily (D1)
ADA trades near 0.67 USDT, sitting under the 20-day EMA at 0.68, the 50-day at 0.74, and the 200-day at 0.77. Trading below all three EMAs signals that sellers still control the broader trend, and rallies could face supply into moving averages.
The RSI stands at 43.48, which is below 50. This shows a slight bearish bias, with buyers hesitant to press higher. Meanwhile, MACD line at -0.03 versus signal at -0.04 and a positive histogram of 0.01 suggest early stabilization, but momentum remains fragile.
Bollinger Bands place price around the middle band (0.67), with the upper at 0.75 and lower at 0.58. Sitting near the center often precedes a directional move; for now, it reflects balance after prior selling. ATR(14) near 0.04 implies moderate daily ranges, so risk control remains manageable.
The daily pivot points cluster at PP 0.66, R1 0.67, and S1 0.66. This tight 0.66–0.67 zone marks a tactical battleground; acceptance above R1 would aid stabilization, while a slip below PP/S1 keeps pressure on supports. Overall D1 sentiment: cautiously bearish.
ADA Analysis — Hourly (H1)
On H1, price hovers around 0.67 USDT with the 20/50/200 EMAs all near 0.66–0.67. This flattening shows an indecisive tape intraday. RSI at 44.98 leans slightly bearish, while a flat MACD (0/0/0) reflects a lack of momentum either way.
Bollinger Bands are tight (upper 0.68, lower 0.66), and ATR(14) at 0.01 confirms compressed volatility. Intraday, the PP at 0.67, R1 at 0.67, and S1 at 0.66 frame a narrow range where quick fades and mean reversion have dominated.
ADA Analysis — 15-min (M15)
On M15, ADA prints 0.67 USDT with EMA20 at 0.66 and EMA50/200 near 0.67. Micro-structure is balanced, as RSI at 51.18 sits just above neutral, and MACD remains flat. Bands are tight (mid 0.66, upper 0.67, lower 0.66), while ATR shows near-zero activity.
Short-term, price compresses just under immediate resistance. If momentum fades here, sellers could attempt another push into 0.66; if it builds, a quick test of 0.68 is plausible. The tone feels range-bound.
Across timeframes, D1 leans bearish while H1 and M15 are neutral-to-range. This mix argues for patience: the next strong move likely comes from a break of the 0.66–0.68 band.
Market context
Total crypto market cap stands at 3949462570575.045 USD, with a 24h change of -1.14%. Bitcoin dominance is 57.63%, while the Fear & Greed Index reads 50 (Neutral). High BTC dominance and neutral sentiment often weigh on altcoins like ADA, keeping breakouts tentative.
This week’s ADA Analysis therefore values confirmation over anticipation.
Ecosystem (DeFi or chain)
On Cardano DeFi, fees show a mixed picture. Minswap rose 4.35% d/d and 22.15% w/w, while SundaeSwap V2 jumped 62.50% d/d and 61.64% w/w. In contrast, Splash Protocol slipped -14.00% d/d, and WingRiders edged lower. MuesliSwap saw notable gains across periods.
These divergences suggest selective participation across Cardano venues; flows support leaders, but breadth remains uneven.
Read more about Cardano here.
Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/10/28/ada-analysis-66-68/
