Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction: ETH Downtrend Deepens as $1,850 Support Emerges as Critical Pivot

Ethereum remains under sustained pressure as the broader digital asset market consolidates, with the price hovering near multi-month lows. At the time of writing, ETH trades near the $1,947–$1,950 range, representing a drawdown of roughly 40% from recent swing highs and underscoring continued softness in overall risk appetite across crypto markets.

The recent decline has shifted the market’s posture from recovery attempts to capital preservation. On higher timeframes, the price structure shows persistent lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign that sellers still control momentum. Short-term rebounds have occurred, but follow-through buying has been limited, suggesting demand remains cautious rather than aggressive.

This analysis focuses primarily on short- to medium-term traders monitoring technical levels, while acknowledging that longer-term investors may view current zones differently within Ethereum’s broader cycle.

Current Ethereum Price Action

Recent Ethereum price analysis shows ETH breaking down from a rising channel that had guided price action for several months. The loss of the $3,000 psychological level marked a decisive structural shift, converting former support into overhead resistance.

Ethereum has reached a key demand zone, with long positions recommended only after a confirmed bullish signal. Source: Thebitcoin37 on TradingView

Ethereum now trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, both trending downward. The 200-day average sits near the $2,200–$2,250 area, reinforcing that region as a technical ceiling. Price also remains below the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart, indicating bearish momentum and weak trend strength.

Key levels based on historical volume concentration and prior reaction points include:

• Immediate support: $1,850–$1,900
• Strong demand zone: $1,650–$1,750
• Resistance cluster: $2,200–$2,300 (200-day MA + prior breakdown area)
• Major resistance: $2,800–$3,000

From a scenario perspective, a high-volume daily close below $1,850 would likely expose the $1,650 region, where past accumulation occurred during earlier consolidation phases. Conversely, reclaiming $2,300 with sustained volume would be the first sign that sellers are losing control.

Technical Structure Remains Fragile

On the daily timeframe, Ethereum continues to print a sequence of lower highs, indicating rallies are being sold into rather than accumulated. Momentum indicators provide mixed but cautious signals.

Ethereum remains in a corrective phase within long-term support zones, with its weekly movements influenced by Bitcoin weakness, broader market risks, and heightened volatility, underscoring the importance of risk-aware, cyclical trading. Source: mamadezfuli20 on TradingView

The Relative Strength Index has dipped into short-term oversold territory several times, yet there is no confirmed bullish divergence. Historically, oversold readings without divergence often lead to temporary bounces instead of durable reversals.

On the weekly chart, ETH appears to be in a broader corrective phase following its previous expansion cycle. Similar multi-month consolidations occurred in 2018 and 2022 before a base was established. However, those transitions required prolonged sideways movement and stronger accumulation signals, neither of which is clearly visible yet.

Ethereum and Broader Market Liquidity Conditions

Ethereum’s performance remains closely tied to Bitcoin and overall liquidity conditions. When risk sentiment weakens, capital typically exits altcoins first, which can amplify volatility in ETH relative to BTC.

The Bolzen Price Covenant (BPC) strength index of 26 indicates that Ethereum’s price is approaching a dynamically determined energy block, where capital concentration and liquidation activity may influence market direction. Source: Bolzen_Market_Institute on TradingView

This relationship is visible in the ETH/BTC ratio, which has softened in recent weeks, indicating relative underperformance. Such periods often coincide with reduced speculative flows and lower trading volumes across the altcoin market.

Macro drivers are also relevant. Elevated interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar, and cautious positioning in global equities have limited appetite for higher-volatility assets. These factors tend to compress crypto rallies and extend corrective phases rather than support sustained breakouts.

Macro Backdrop and Ethereum: Liquidity, Risk Appetite, and Institutional Flows

Beyond technicals, structural developments continue shaping Ethereum news and long-term sentiment.

Ethereum is trading near $1,970 after breaking below its rising channel and the $3,000 psychological level, with a clearly bearish daily structure, weak rebound momentum, and key support at $1,850–$1,900 facing pressure beneath overhead resistance at $2,200–$2,300. Source: CryptoSanders9563 on TradingView

Institutional participation has grown through regulated products such as the Ethereum ETF market, including offerings from large asset managers. ETF flows can influence short-term liquidity while signaling longer-term adoption from traditional investors. At the same time, inflows have not yet been strong enough to offset broader market risk reduction.

On the protocol side, Ethereum’s ongoing upgrades, including zero-knowledge proof-based validation research aimed at improving scalability and reducing hardware requirements for validators, highlight continued network development. Lower resource demands could make participation more accessible and strengthen decentralization over time.

Together, these elements present a mixed picture: macro caution in the near term, but continued infrastructure progress underneath.

Key Levels Traders Are Watching

For now, the $1,850 area remains the most important short-term reference point. If buyers defend this support and volume increases, Ethereum could attempt a move back toward $2,200–$2,300. That zone aligns with the 200-day moving average and prior supply, making it a logical first test for any recovery.

If support fails, historical volume profiles suggest the next meaningful demand may not appear until the $1,650–$1,750 range, where previous consolidation created stronger buyer interest.

Risk management remains central. Many traders wait for confirmation signals, such as higher lows, moving average reclaims, or expanding volume, rather than anticipating reversals prematurely.

Final Thoughts

Any Ethereum price prediction at this stage remains conditional on both technical improvement and broader market stability. The prevailing trend is still downward, and rallies have yet to demonstrate sustained strength.

Ethereum was trading at around $1,949.449, down 4.89% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin

A decisive reclaim of $2,300 would suggest momentum is stabilizing. Until then, the structure favors caution, with price oscillating between support defense and overhead supply.

Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals continue to evolve, but in the short term, the market appears focused on protecting capital rather than chasing upside, whether $1,850 holds may determine the next directional move.