Peter Zhang
Jan 24, 2026 08:13
Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with technical indicators suggesting potential recovery toward $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone by February 2026, despite current bearish momentum signals.
Stellar (XLM) is currently trading at $0.2105 as of January 24, 2026, showing minimal daily movement with a -0.05% change over the past 24 hours. Despite the current sideways price action, technical analysis and recent analyst forecasts point toward potential upside in the coming weeks.
XLM Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $0.22
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.25-$0.27 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.22
• Critical support: $0.20
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar
Recent analyst predictions have shown cautious optimism for XLM’s price trajectory. According to Joerg Hiller’s January 20 analysis, “Stellar (XLM) shows mixed signals at $0.21 with technical indicators suggesting potential move toward $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone based on recent analyst forecasts.”
Jessie A Ellis provided additional insight on January 21, noting that “Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with oversold RSI at 38.8. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.25 resistance if support at $0.20 holds through January.” This aligns with Caroline Bishop’s January 18 assessment, which highlighted that “Stellar (XLM) shows consolidation at $0.23 with neutral RSI signals. Technical analysis points to potential upside toward $0.25-$0.27 by February 2026 amid current sideways momentum.”
These Stellar forecast predictions consistently target the $0.25-$0.27 range, suggesting a consensus among analysts about potential upside resistance levels.
XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical landscape for XLM presents a mixed picture with several key indicators worth examining:
RSI Analysis: XLM’s 14-period RSI sits at 42.15, placing it in neutral territory but closer to oversold conditions. This suggests the recent selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion, potentially setting up for a relief bounce.
MACD Signals: The MACD histogram shows 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled. With both the MACD line (-0.0043) and signal line (-0.0043) at similar levels, we’re seeing a potential consolidation phase that could precede a directional move.
Bollinger Bands Position: XLM’s current position at 0.1918 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the price is trading much closer to the lower band ($0.20) than the upper band ($0.25). This positioning often suggests oversold conditions and potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $0.23.
Moving Average Structure: The price sits below most key moving averages, with the SMA 20 at $0.23 acting as immediate resistance. The significant gap between the current price ($0.21) and the SMA 200 ($0.32) highlights the longer-term bearish trend that needs to be overcome.
Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case for this XLM price prediction, a break above the immediate resistance at $0.22 could trigger momentum toward the $0.25 upper Bollinger Band. This level aligns with analyst targets and represents the SMA 20 resistance zone.
A sustained move above $0.25 would open the path toward $0.27, which matches the higher end of analyst forecasts. For this scenario to play out, XLM would need to see increased trading volume above the current $6.3 million daily average and RSI moving above 50 to confirm bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case centers around a break below the critical $0.20 support level, which represents both the lower Bollinger Band and strong support identified in the technical data. A breakdown below this level could trigger further selling toward the next support zone.
Given the current MACD bearish momentum and price position below key moving averages, any failure to hold $0.20 support could lead to accelerated downside movement. The Stochastic indicators at low levels (%K: 18.02, %D: 14.41) suggest oversold conditions, but this doesn’t guarantee an immediate bounce.
Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy
Based on the technical analysis, potential entry strategies for XLM include:
Conservative Entry: Wait for a clear break above $0.22 resistance with volume confirmation before entering long positions. This would signal that the current consolidation phase is resolving to the upside.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $0.21 offer a risk-reward entry point, with stop-loss placed below $0.20 support. This approach capitalizes on the oversold RSI conditions and proximity to lower Bollinger Band support.
Risk Management: Given the Daily ATR of $0.01, position sizing should account for XLM’s current volatility levels. A stop-loss at $0.195 (below strong support) would limit downside while allowing for normal price fluctuations.
Conclusion
This XLM price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for Stellar over the coming month. While current technical indicators show mixed signals with bearish momentum stalling, the convergence of analyst targets around $0.25-$0.27 and oversold RSI conditions support the potential for upside movement.
The key catalyst for this Stellar forecast will be XLM’s ability to reclaim the $0.22 resistance level and generate sustained buying interest. With proper risk management and attention to the critical $0.20 support level, traders may find opportunities in XLM’s current consolidation phase.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve substantial risk and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260124-price-prediction-xlm-stellar-targets-025-027-by-february
