Bitcoin price prediction if the Fed cuts rates

The Bitcoin price is hovering near $91.8K, gaining a small 1.9% in the past 24 hours, even though it’s still down for the week. Traders are basically holding their breath as the Fed is likely to lower interest rates later today. 

And according to analysts, that kind of policy change is often what sets Bitcoin up for big moves.

Table of Contents

• Current market scenario
• Upside outlook
• Downside risks
• Bitcoin price prediction based on current levels

Summary

• BTC is hovering near $91.8K, up 1.9% in the past 24 hours but down slightly on the week.
• Traders are focused on today’s Federal Reserve decision, as a rate cut could trigger significant market moves.
• A daily close above $93,700 could push Bitcoin toward $94,600, then $97K–$98K, with a potential path to $100K if macro conditions align.
• Delayed or uncertain Fed action could drive BTC below $91,000, opening support at $87,500 and risking a deeper pullback.
• The market is at a pivotal point, with the Fed’s decision likely to determine the next major move in Bitcoin’s price.

Current market scenario

Even amid sharp intraday swings, buyers have defended the $90,000 support, keeping Bitcoin (BTC) from breaking lower. But without stronger capital entering the market, the price isn’t gaining traction.

All eyes are now on the Fed, as the market awaits clarity on potential rate cuts or an easing roadmap.

Upside outlook

If Bitcoin can close above $93,700, it would be a clear bullish signal. That could drive price through $94,100 and $94,600. Clearing them could flip sentiment positive, letting momentum do the work and drawing whales into the market. After that, Bitcoin could aim for $97K–$98K. And with the Fed possibly cutting rates, the road to $100K could be back in play. 

Downside risks

A bearish scenario could gain traction if the Fed delays rate cuts or issues a vague, uncertain easing plan. This could weigh on sentiment and push Bitcoin below $91,000. If that level fails, the next key support is at $87,500, which is crucial for maintaining the broader trend.

A drop to $87,500 could wipe out the week’s gains and trigger a deeper pullback. It would undermine the inverse head and shoulders pattern and weaken any short-term BTC forecast, pointing toward a longer period of consolidation.

Bitcoin price prediction based on current levels

If the Fed proceeds with a rate cut and Bitcoin breaks above $93,700, the bullish case could quickly gain momentum. That may drive price toward $94,600, then into the $97K–$98K range, and potentially reignite the push toward $100K. Such a move would support a more optimistic Bitcoin price prediction, backed by favorable technicals and macro conditions.

Conversely, if the Fed hesitates or holds off on cuts, Bitcoin could fall below $91,000, exposing $87,500. That scenario would weaken the chart and shift the BTC outlook toward a consolidation phase.

The Bitcoin price is at a crucial turning point. Whatever the Fed decides today could set the tone for the next major move, so this is a pretty big moment for the ongoing BTC price prediction.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.