Darius Baruo
Dec 06, 2025 05:46
Bitcoin technical analysis suggests a recovery toward $96,000-$98,000 in the next 2-4 weeks, with critical support holding at $80,600 and bullish MACD momentum building.
Bitcoin has experienced a notable pullback from recent highs, but technical indicators suggest the cryptocurrency is positioning for a potential recovery. With the current price at $89,549, our BTC price prediction analysis reveals several compelling signals that could drive Bitcoin toward key resistance levels in the coming weeks.
BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $92,500-$94,000 (+3-5%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $96,000-$98,000 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $96,043
• Critical support if bearish: $80,600
Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows remarkable consensus in their Bitcoin forecast, with multiple sources targeting similar price ranges. Blockchain.News has issued two complementary predictions, suggesting BTC could reach $96,500-$98,000 in the short term, followed by an extended target of $98,000-$102,000 by year-end. This aligns closely with our Bitcoin technical analysis.
Coinpedia’s research supports this bullish outlook with their $80,000-$96,000 short-term range, while maintaining a longer-term BTC price target of $110,000 for potential breakout scenarios. The most cautious perspective comes from Axios, which emphasizes the critical $82,000 level as a key battleground for Bitcoin’s next directional move.
What’s particularly noteworthy is the convergence around the $96,000-$98,000 resistance zone, suggesting this represents a significant technical hurdle that, once broken, could unleash substantial upward momentum.
BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Recovery
The current technical landscape presents a compelling case for a Bitcoin price recovery. The RSI reading of 42.63 indicates Bitcoin has moved from oversold territory into neutral ground, providing room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. This positioning is crucial for sustainable price advancement.
The MACD histogram reading of 820.2333 represents the most bullish signal in our analysis, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and buyers are beginning to step in. While the MACD line remains below the signal line at -2443.7080 versus -3263.9413, the narrowing gap suggests a potential bullish crossover could occur within days.
Bitcoin’s position relative to its Bollinger Bands shows the cryptocurrency trading at the 0.50 position, essentially at the middle band ($89,577). This neutral positioning suggests Bitcoin has room to move toward the upper band at $94,693 without encountering immediate technical resistance.
The moving average structure reveals both challenges and opportunities. While Bitcoin trades below its 50-day SMA ($99,504) and 200-day SMA ($109,268), it remains close to both the 7-day ($90,330) and 20-day ($89,577) moving averages, suggesting short-term support is holding.
Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
Our primary BTC price prediction targets the $96,000-$98,000 zone within the next 2-4 weeks. This target zone represents the confluence of multiple resistance levels identified in our Bitcoin technical analysis, including the immediate resistance at $96,043 and analyst consensus targets.
For this bullish scenario to unfold, Bitcoin needs to decisively break above the $92,500 level, which would signal a move toward the upper Bollinger Band. A sustained break above $94,693 would then open the path to test the critical $96,043 resistance level.
Should Bitcoin successfully breach $98,000, the next logical BTC price target would be $102,000, aligning with the more optimistic analyst forecasts. This scenario requires strong volume confirmation and a bullish MACD crossover.
Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The bearish scenario centers around the critical $80,600 support level, which represents both immediate and strong support according to our technical levels. A break below this level would invalidate our bullish BTC price prediction and could trigger a deeper correction.
In a bearish breakdown, Bitcoin could test the lower Bollinger Band around $84,462 initially. However, if the $80,600 support fails to hold, the next significant support doesn’t appear until the 52-week low region around $76,322.
The key risk factors to monitor include a MACD histogram turning negative, RSI breaking below 40, and most importantly, failure to hold the $80,600 support on high volume.
Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Bitcoin forecast, the current price level around $89,549 presents a reasonable entry opportunity for those seeking exposure to the anticipated recovery. However, a more conservative approach would be to wait for a pullback to the $87,000-$88,000 range, closer to the lower Bollinger Band.
For risk management, any BTC purchase should include a stop-loss below $80,000 to protect against the bearish scenario outlined above. This represents approximately a 10% downside risk from current levels.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed technical signals. Consider allocating no more than 3-5% of portfolio value to this trade, with the option to add on confirmed breakouts above $94,000.
The optimal buy or sell BTC decision depends on risk tolerance, but the technical setup favors buyers with proper risk management over the next 2-4 weeks.
BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive Bitcoin technical analysis supports a moderately bullish outlook with a BTC price target of $96,000-$98,000 over the next month. The confluence of analyst predictions, improving MACD momentum, and neutral RSI positioning creates a favorable setup for price recovery.
Confidence Level: MEDIUM-HIGH (75%)
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include the MACD histogram maintaining positive momentum, RSI breaking above 50, and most critically, price action holding above the $80,600 support level. A decisive break above $92,500 would validate our bullish Bitcoin forecast and likely accelerate the move toward our primary targets.
The timeline for this BTC price prediction spans the next 2-4 weeks, with the year-end period being crucial for determining whether Bitcoin can achieve the upper end of our forecast range and potentially challenge the $102,000 level that several analysts have identified.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251206-price-prediction-btc-bitcoin-targeting-96000-98000-by-year
