- XRP holds above $1.43 trendline support as the 30-minute MACD starts to turn higher.
- Evernorth disclosed a $233.7M impairment on its 473.1M XRP treasury in its S-4 filing.
- Open interest fell to $2.57B as liquidations showed longs still carried most of the pressure.
XRP trades at $1.4454, down 0.16%, sitting just above the ascending trendline on the 30-minute chart that has held since the March 19 lows near $1.42.
Daily Chart: Donchian Channel Defines The Range
The daily chart shows XRP inside a Donchian Channel with the upper band at $1.6072 and lower band at $1.3217. Price has been grinding along the Donchian midline at $1.4645 for several days, unable to push toward the upper band after the Fed-driven selloff from $1.60 earlier this week. The 20-day EMA at $1.4318 is just below current price and rising, while the 50-day at $1.5022 and 100-day at $1.6880 sit above as the recovery road map.
The ascending trendline from the February lows near $1.18 continues to provide the structural floor, currently running through $1.43 to $1.44 on the daily chart. As long as price holds above it on daily closes, the recovery structure from February remains intact.
Key daily levels:
- Ascending trendline: ~$1.43 rising
- 20-day EMA: $1.4318
- Donchian midline: $1.4645
- 50-day EMA: $1.5022
- Donchian upper band: $1.6072
30-Minute Chart: Trendline Holds, MACD Turning
The 30-minute chart shows the sharp selloff from $1.60 on March 17 finding a base near $1.42 on March 19, with price bouncing along an ascending trendline since then. RSI at 44.55 is below the signal line at 52.81 but trending higher after the bounce. The MACD at -0.0004 with a signal line at 0.0007 and histogram at 0.0011 shows the lines are converging toward a potential bullish cross.
A MACD cross above zero on the 30-minute chart alongside a hold of the ascending trendline would be the short-term signal that the bounce from $1.42 has legs. The immediate target is the $1.46 to $1.48 zone where price stalled during yesterday’s recovery attempt.
Key 30-minute levels:
- Ascending trendline support: ~$1.43 rising
- Immediate resistance: $1.46 to $1.48
- Donchian midline target: $1.4645
Evernorth’s $233M Impairment: What The SPAC Filing Actually Shows
Evernorth Holdings, an XRP treasury company going public through a SPAC merger, filed an S-4 disclosing that it and Pathfinder Digital Assets held 473.1 million XRP as of December 31, 2025. The company used $214.1 million in cash to buy 84.4 million XRP at an average of roughly $2.54 per token. XRP is currently at $1.4454, about 43% below that average entry.
The filing shows the position was not built entirely through open-market purchases. Ripple contributed 126.8 million XRP to Pathfinder under a contribution agreement. A sponsor separately contributed 211.3 million XRP through a Series C subscription tied to the SPAC deal. The $233.7 million impairment recorded for 2025 reflects US accounting rules requiring unrealized losses to be recognised when market values fall below purchase prices.
Rather than sitting on the position passively, Evernorth says it plans to actively manage the treasury through RLUSD and XRP liquidity pools, XRP lending, AMM liquidity provision, and options strategies including covered calls and cash-secured puts. That approach, if executed, would generate yield on the position regardless of whether the token price recovers to the average entry.
Derivatives: Market Quiet After Fed Flush
Volume fell 19.20% to $3.85B and open interest dropped 2.31% to $2.57B, a quiet session following the Fed-driven volatility earlier this week. Options volume rose 7.99% to $2.73M with options OI up 1.74% to $63.18M, reflecting modest hedging activity around the $1.40 options cluster approaching the March 27 expiry.
The Binance long/short ratio sits at 2.52 for accounts and 2.77 for top trader accounts, with positions at 1.27. Longs absorbed $3.43M in 24-hour liquidations against $735.45K for shorts, a heavily lopsided flush that confirms bulls are still the crowded side of this trade. That imbalance keeps downside risk alive if the $1.43 trendline gives way.
Outlook: Will XRP Go Up?
- Bullish case: XRP holds the ascending trendline above $1.43, MACD crosses bullish on the 30-minute chart, and price reclaims the Donchian midline at $1.4645. The March 27 options expiry at $1.40 expiring worthless for put holders would remove a potential source of selling pressure, clearing the path toward the 50-day EMA at $1.5022 and the Donchian upper band at $1.6072.
- Bearish case: Trendline breaks on a daily close below $1.43, the Donchian lower band at $1.3217 comes back into focus. The $14.6M in March 27 put open interest at $1.40 would shift from expired worthless to in-the-money, adding hedging flows that could amplify any move lower.
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Source: https://coinedition.com/xrp-price-prediction-xrp-holds-1-43-trendline-as-evernorth-discloses-233m-loss/
