TLDR: Bitcoin currently holds about 4% of the global $38T store-of-value market. Capturing 17% of the market could push Bitcoin to $1 million per coin. InstitutionalTLDR: Bitcoin currently holds about 4% of the global $38T store-of-value market. Capturing 17% of the market could push Bitcoin to $1 million per coin. Institutional

Bitcoin $1 Million Prediction: Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Explains the Math

2026/03/12 04:52
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TLDR:

  • Bitcoin currently holds about 4% of the global $38T store-of-value market.
  • Capturing 17% of the market could push Bitcoin to $1 million per coin.
  • Institutional adoption and ETF inflows are boosting Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
  • Historical growth in gold shows the store-of-value market could reach $121T in 10 years.

A $1 million price prediction for BTC has resurfaced after Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan published a memo showing how Bitcoin could reach $1M by increasing its share of the growing global store-of-value market, supported by institutional adoption and declining volatility.

Store-of-Value Market Growth Drives Bitcoin Potential

Matt Hougan emphasized that evaluating Bitcoin requires examining the expanding store-of-value market rather than a fixed market size.

Investors often underestimate Bitcoin because they ignore the historical growth of gold, real estate, and other wealth-preservation assets.

In 2004, the total gold market was around $2.5 trillion, with the first U.S. gold ETF marking a milestone for institutional investment.

Over the past two decades, this market has grown to nearly $40 trillion, reflecting sustained expansion and capital inflows.

The growth is supported by rising government debt, loose monetary policies, and persistent geopolitical stress. If these tailwinds continue, the store-of-value market could reach $121 trillion within a decade, increasing the potential for alternative assets like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin currently represents roughly 4% of this market, with approximately $1.4 trillion in capitalization. Hougan calculated that Bitcoin would only need to capture about 17% of the total store-of-value market to reach $1 million per coin. 

This shows that long-term projections depend more on market growth than on static valuations.

By viewing Bitcoin in this context, investors can assess potential gains relative to the growth of global wealth preservation assets rather than short-term price fluctuations.

Institutional Adoption Strengthens Market Share

Institutional participation has increased sharply over recent years, according to Hougan. Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. are now among the fastest-growing ETFs ever, allowing broader institutional exposure through regulated channels and boosting market legitimacy.

Large institutional investors, including Harvard’s endowment and Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala sovereign wealth fund, have added Bitcoin allocations.

Their involvement reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term store-of-value asset and validates its market position.

Bitcoin’s long-term volatility has gradually declined, encouraging professional investors to consider higher allocations of around five percent. Previously, recommended allocations were closer to one percent. 

Combined with ETF inflows, these factors support Bitcoin’s potential to capture a larger market share and approach the $1 million per coin scenario.

The post Bitcoin $1 Million Prediction: Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Explains the Math appeared first on Blockonomi.

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command: --server-id=1 --log-bin=ON The --server-id option gives each MySQL server in your replication setup its own name tag. Each one has to be unique and without it, replication won’t work at all. Another cool option not included here is binlog_format=ROW. This tells MySQL how to keep track of changes before passing them along to the replicas. By default, MySQL already uses row-based replication, but you can explicitly set it to ROW to be sure or switch it to STATEMENT if you’d rather log the actual SQL statements instead of row-by-row changes. \ Run our containers on docker Now, in the terminal, we can run the following command to spin up our database containers: docker-compose up -d \ Setting Up Our Master (Primary) Server To configure our master server, we would have to first access the running instance on docker using the following command docker exec -it mysql-master bash This command opens an interactive Bash shell inside the running Docker container named mysql-master, allowing us to run commands directly inside that container. \ Now that we’re inside the container, we can access the MySQL server and start running commands. type: mysql -uroot -p This will log you into MySQL as the root user. You’ll be prompted to enter the password you set in your docker-compose.yml file. \ Next, we need to create a special user that our replicas will use to connect to the master server and pull data. Inside the MySQL prompt, run the following commands: \ CREATE USER 'repl_user'@'%' IDENTIFIED BY 'replication_pass'; GRANT REPLICATION SLAVE ON . TO 'repl_user'@'%'; FLUSH PRIVILEGES; Here’s what’s happening: CREATE USER makes a new MySQL user called repl_user with the password replication_pass. GRANT REPLICATION SLAVE gives this user permission to act as a replication client. FLUSH PRIVILEGES tells MySQL to reload the user permissions so they take effect immediately. \ Time to Configure the Replica (Secondary) Servers a. First, let’s access the replica containers the same way we did with the master. Run this command in your terminal for each of the replica containers: \ docker exec -it <replica_container_name> bash mysql -uroot -p <replica_container_name> should be replace with the name of the replica container you are trying to setup b. Now it’s time to tell our replica where to get its data from. While inside the replica’s MySQL shell, run the following command to configure replication using the master’s details: CHANGE REPLICATION SOURCE TO SOURCE_HOST='mysql-master', SOURCE_USER='repl_user', SOURCE_PASSWORD='replication_pass', GET_SOURCE_PUBLIC_KEY=1; With the replication settings in place, let’s fire up the replica and get it syncing with the master. Still inside the MySQL shell on the replica, run: START REPLICA; This starts the replication process. To make sure everything is working, check the replica’s status with:
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const Sequelize = require("sequelize"); const sequelize = new Sequelize({ dialect: "mysql", replication: { write: { host: "127.0.0.1", username: "root", password: "master", database: "replicaDb", }, read: [ { host: "127.0.0.1", username: "root", password: "slave", database: "replicaDb", port: 3307 }, { host: "127.0.0.1", username: "root", password: "slave", database: "replicaDb", port: 3308 }, { host: "127.0.0.1", username: "root", password: "slave", database: "replicaDb", port: 3309 }, ], }, }); async function connectdb() { try { await sequelize.authenticate(); } catch (error) { console.error("❌ unable to connect to the follower database", error); } } connectdb(); module.exports = { sequelize, }; \ We can now create a User table in the model.js file
const {DataTypes} = require("sequelize"); const { sequelize } = require("./connection"); const User = sequelize.define("User", { name: { type: DataTypes.STRING, allowNull: false, }, email: { type: DataTypes.STRING, unique: true, allowNull: false, }, }); module.exports = User \ and finally in our index.js file we can start our server and listen for connections on port 3000. from the code sample below, all inserts or updates will be routed by sequelize to the master server. while all read queries will be routed to the read replicas.
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