Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC $72K Breakout or $65K Liquidity Sweep Next?

Key Insights:

• Bitcoin price printed an early TD Sequential buy signal near $69,366, signaling a possible short-term rebound in 3-9 days.
• BTC $72,245 weekly high is the key upside trigger, while losing $67,777 could put BTC at risk of deeper liquidity near $65,168.
• ARK Invest saw a $68.53M single-day inflow into ARKB, signaling institutional accumulation even though Bitcoin was trading below $70K.

Bitcoin price is showing early signs of a possible rebound after a steep correction. Multiple analysts are now pointing to technical signals and institutional inflows coming into alignment near key support. At the same time, big players such as ARK Invest are buying the dip aggressively.

TD Sequential Buy Signal Appears on Bitcoin Price 3-Day Chart

Ali Martinez recently pointed out an early TD Sequential buy signal on the Bitcoin 3-day chart. The setup points to a possible rebound within the next three to nine days. Looking at the chart, Bitcoin printed a “9” count after a sustained down sequence.

BTC 3-Day Chart | Source: Ali, X

BTC price recently traded near $69,366 on the 3-day timeframe. The structure showed a real drop from the $88,000 range towards the $64,000 to $69,000 range. Historically, TD 9 signals often come before short-term relief rallies.

However, confirmation is needed on sustained buying above the current level. If Bitcoin can hold above $69,000 with printing higher closes, a recovery attempt could be fast. Failure to defend this region would open the door to a retest of $64,000.

Monthly 21 EMA Breakdown Signals Bear Regime

EGRAG Crypto had a wider macro picture based on the monthly 21 EMA. According to his rule-based system, Bitcoin price officially entered a bear market regime when it closed below the 21 EMA in December 2025.

BTCUSD Monthly Chart | Source: EGRAG, X

The analyst stressed that historically, closing below the 21 EMA in any given month has led to prolonged reclaims. Past cycles have seen reclaim times of 396 days, 212 days during the COVID-19 pandemic, and 457 days for longer downturns.

Measuring from December 1st, 2025, three reclaim windows appear. These fall around July 2026, January 2027, and March 2027. These are not price targets but probability windows where Bitcoin historically bounces back to the 21 EMA and leaves bearish conditions behind.

He also stressed the fact that new all-time highs do not occur below the 21 EMA. According to this framework, bullish narratives are still secondary until there is a monthly close above the moving average. Till then, the bear regime technically remains active.

Weekly Liquidity Levels: BTC $72,245 and $67,777 in Focus

Short-term trader Lennaert Snyder outlined some key weekly pivot levels. Bitcoin also just printed a session high around $69,664, which he described as a good intraday pivot.

The weekly high of near $72,245 is the current upside target and magnet for liquidity. If Bitcoin breaches above $72,245, a continuation long becomes valid. A break above that level could cause momentum to the $74,000 area.

Source: Lennaert, X

On the downside, the weekly low of around $67,777 is key. If the price does not reverse the weekly high and sets a new weekly low, there is vulnerability below $67,777. In that case, the top cryptocurrency could test deeper support, around $65,168.

Snyder said 87% of weekly pivot highs form Monday or Tuesday. This statistic adds weight to the early-week volatility. For now, the $69,664 pivot and $72,245 weekly high define the bullish scenario, while $67,777 defines risk.

ARK Invest Steps In With $68.53M Bitcoin ETF Inflow

While technicals provide mixed signals, institutional behavior tells a different story. On February 10, 2026, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF had a $68.53 million single-day positive inflow. It was the highest inflow for all spot Bitcoin ETFs for the day.

The inflow followed Bitcoin’s decline below $75,000 earlier in the week. Cathie Wood’s firm appears to be hoarding during weakness rather than chasing breakouts.

The total historical net inflows of ARKB have now reached $1.557 billion. ARK’s overall outlook is still very bullish. The firm previously projected that Bitcoin would reach a market cap of around $16 trillion by 2030. Its base case price target is around $710,000 per BTC.

Institutional adoption is also still growing. ARK estimates that Bitcoin ETFs and public companies now hold about 12% of the total BTC supply. That expanding institutional footprint could shrink available supply during future rallies.

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