IntroductionBlackstone Inc. (NYSE: BX), the world's largest alternative asset manager, has had a rocky twelve months on the chart even as its underlying business keeps growing. Shares closed at $143.9IntroductionBlackstone Inc. (NYSE: BX), the world's largest alternative asset manager, has had a rocky twelve months on the chart even as its underlying business keeps growing. Shares closed at $143.9

Blackstone (BX) Stock Technical Analysis: Chart Patterns, Key Levels, and Price Outlook for 2026

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著者：MEXC

2026/08/18 11:09

Introduction

Blackstone Inc. (NYSE: BX), the world's largest alternative asset manager, has had a rocky twelve months on the chart even as its underlying business keeps growing. Shares closed at $143.93, down 3.61% on the day and down 15.63% over the past year, yet the stock has quietly rallied 17.62% in just the past month. That combination of a weak yearly trend and a strong recent bounce is exactly the kind of setup technical analysts pay attention to, since it raises the question of whether BX stock is turning a corner or simply bouncing within a longer downtrend.

This technical analysis of Blackstone stock walks through the price action, moving averages, momentum indicators, and support and resistance levels that matter right now. Whether you are searching for a BX stock forecast, tracking Blackstone stock price prediction models, or simply trying to understand where the stock sits on the charts today, this guide breaks the picture down in plain, easy-to-follow language. This is chart-based analysis, not financial advice, so treat it as one input among many in your own research process.

Key Highlights

BX stock closed at $143.93, down 3.61% on the day, down 15.63% over the past year, but up 17.62% over the past month.
The one-year chart shows a decline from the $180 area down through a low that printed below $120, followed by a recovery back to the current $143.93 level.
Blackstone's overall daily technical summary reads “Buy,” with 14 bullish signals against 3 bearish and 9 neutral readings.
The Moving Averages summary specifically reads “Strong Buy,” with 13 of 14 moving averages pointing higher.
The 14-day RSI sits at 63.31, a neutral-to-firm reading, while the Stochastic %K near 87 suggests the stock has moved quickly in the short term.
Classic pivot point resistance levels sit at $136.53, $145.30, and $163.94, with support at $117.89, $108.02, and $89.38.
Blackstone reported FY2025 net income of $3.02 billion on $13.65 billion in revenue, with an indicated dividend yield of 3.63% and a trailing P/E of 33.50.

BX Stock Price Action: Where Things Stand

Blackstone shares closed at $143.93, falling $5.39, or 3.61%, in a single session, with the stock also trading slightly lower in the after-hours session at $143.75. That kind of daily drop is notable on its own, but it needs context from the broader trend to be useful.

Zooming out, the one-year chart tells a story of a sharp decline followed by a grinding recovery. Reading directly off the chart's gridlines, BX traded near the $180 level at the start of the period, declined through the $150 pivot line, and bottomed in a range that printed below the $120 gridline before recovering. From that low, the stock has climbed back to its current level just above $143, recovering a meaningful portion of the decline but still sitting below where it started the year. Over the past month alone, BX has gained 17.62%, which shows the pace of the recovery has picked up sharply in recent weeks even with today's single-day pullback.

This pattern, a deep decline followed by a strong snapback rally, is common after a stock becomes oversold. The key technical question is whether the current bounce is the start of a new uptrend or simply a relief rally within a longer downtrend, which is where the moving averages and momentum indicators become useful.

Reading the Blackstone Candlestick Chart

Below is the one-year candlestick chart for BX, sourced from TradingView, showing the full decline and recovery described above.

BX 1-Year Candlestick Chart — Source: TradingView

A few things stand out from this chart. The decline from the $180 area to the sub-$120 low happened in two distinct legs, with a brief consolidation partway down before the second leg lower. That kind of stair-step decline, rather than one continuous drop, typically reflects a market repricing the stock gradually over several months rather than reacting to a single event.

The recovery off the lows has also come in stages, with the stock consolidating before pushing higher toward its current level near $144. The fact that BX has held above its prior consolidation lows during this bounce is a constructive technical sign, since it suggests buyers have been willing to step in on dips rather than let the stock retest its yearly low.

Moving Averages: A Trend-Following Perspective

Moving averages smooth out day-to-day noise and give a cleaner read on the underlying trend. For BX stock, the picture across nearly every major moving average is currently bullish, which reflects the strength of the recent one-month rally more than the weaker one-year trend.

Both the 10-day and 20-day simple and exponential moving averages sit meaningfully below the current price, with the 10-day simple moving average at $140.70 and the 20-day simple moving average at $134.19, both flagged as “Buy.” Moving out further, the 50-day simple moving average sits at $126.28, the 100-day at $122.74, and the 200-day at $131.08, all trending upward and all below the current price. This alignment, where shorter-term averages sit above longer-term ones and price sits above all of them, is often described as a “bullish stack” and reflects the strength of the bounce off the yearly low.

The one outlier is the Hull Moving Average, a fast-reacting average, which reads $149.88 with a “Sell” signal, since the stock's recent pullback from around $150 has briefly dipped below this faster-moving line. This kind of short-term wobble is common even within a strengthening trend and does not undercut the broader bullish alignment across the slower-moving averages, but it is a reminder that short-term momentum has cooled slightly from its recent peak.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD, and Stochastic

Momentum indicators help answer a different question than moving averages: not just “which way is the trend,” but “how strong or stretched is it right now.”

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BX currently reads 63.31, which sits in neutral-to-firm territory, below the traditional overbought threshold of 70 but clearly on the stronger side of neutral. The Stochastic %K reading of 87.11 is more stretched, sitting close to the classic overbought zone above 80, which reflects how quickly the stock has moved off its recent lows. The Stochastic RSI Fast reading of 79.83 tells a similar story, suggesting short-term momentum has been running hot even though the standard RSI has not yet reached extreme levels.

The MACD Level reading of 5.86 is flagged as a “Buy” signal, with the MACD line sitting above its signal line, supporting the idea that the intermediate-term trend has turned upward following the bounce off the yearly low. On the other hand, the Commodity Channel Index at 120.77 is flagged “Sell,” and Momentum(10) at 16.18 is also flagged “Sell,” both indicating that the fastest-moving indicators see the current rally as stretched in the very short term. Taken together, the oscillator picture is genuinely mixed, which is reflected in the overall Oscillators summary reading “Neutral” with 2 sell, 8 neutral, and only 1 buy signal among the group.

Key Support and Resistance Levels for BX

Support and resistance zones are the price levels where a stock has historically found buyers stepping in (support) or sellers taking profits (resistance). For Blackstone stock, classic pivot point analysis provides a useful framework.

On the support side, the first pivot support (S1) sits at $117.89, which lines up closely with the stock's recent multi-month low. A break below this level would put the second support (S2) at $108.02 into focus, and a deeper decline could test the third support (S3) at $89.38, though that would represent a significant breakdown from current levels. The central pivot point itself sits at $126.66, a level that roughly aligns with the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, reinforcing it as a meaningful zone if the stock pulls back.

On the resistance side, the first pivot resistance (R1) sits at $136.53, a level the stock has recently traded through given its current price above $143. The second resistance (R2) at $145.30 sits just above the current price and is the immediate hurdle for the stock to clear on any further advance. Beyond that, the third resistance (R3) at $163.94 marks a much more ambitious target that would represent a significant recovery toward the stock's prior highs.

What the Broader Technical Summary Shows

Pulling together oscillators, moving averages, and overall signal counts, the aggregate technical reading on BX currently leans toward “Buy,” with 14 buy signals against 3 sell signals and 9 neutral readings across all indicators tracked. Moving averages show by far the strongest bullish tilt, with a “Strong Buy” summary reflecting 13 buy signals against just 1 sell signal, driven by the sharp one-month rally that has pulled the stock back above nearly every major moving average.

Oscillators tell a more cautious story, with a “Neutral” summary reflecting 8 neutral readings, 2 sell signals, and only 1 buy signal. This split, where trend-following moving averages are strongly bullish while faster oscillators sit closer to neutral or stretched, is a common pattern after a sharp bounce off a low. It suggests the intermediate-term trend has turned constructive, even as short-term momentum digests recent gains.

Blackstone's Business Fundamentals in Context

While this is a technical analysis piece focused on the chart, a few fundamental data points help explain the backdrop against which BX stock is trading. Blackstone reported full-year 2025 net income of $3.02 billion, up 8.74% from the prior year, on total revenue of $13.65 billion, up 9.60%. Trailing-twelve-month EBITDA came in at $7.72 billion, up 9.30% year over year, showing the underlying business has continued to grow even as the stock price declined over the past year.

Blackstone also carries an indicated dividend yield of 3.63%, with a most recent dividend of $1.29 per share and an ex-dividend date of August 3, 2026. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33.50, with a market capitalization of approximately $178.74 billion. A same-week news item reported Blackstone insiders sold shares worth over $8 million on August 12, 2026. This is a factual data point rather than a technical signal, since insider sales are disclosed transactions that can reflect many individual circumstances, and the article did not break down which insiders sold or what portion of their total holdings the sale represented.

BX Stock Forecast: Scenarios to Watch

Rather than predicting a single price, it's more useful to lay out a few scenarios based on how the chart could develop from here.

Continuation scenario

BX holds above its rising 20-day and 50-day moving averages, clears the R2 pivot resistance at $145.30, and pushes toward the R3 level at $163.94. This would fit the pattern of a stock recovering from an oversold low, with each pullback finding support at a progressively higher level.

Consolidation scenario

BX trades sideways in the $126 to $145 range for a period, allowing the stretched short-term oscillators, such as the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI, to cool off while the underlying moving averages continue trending higher. This would be a healthy pause within the current recovery rather than a reversal.

Renewed downtrend scenario

BX would need to break decisively below the S1 pivot support at $117.89, and especially below the S2 level at $108.02, for the broader one-year downtrend to reassert itself. This kind of move would likely require a shift in the macro backdrop for alternative asset managers or a disappointing update on Blackstone's fee-related earnings, rather than simple short-term profit-taking.

Conclusion

Blackstone stock presents a genuinely two-sided technical picture right now. The one-year trend remains negative, with shares down 15.63% over that period, but the past month has brought a sharp 17.62% recovery that has pulled the stock back above nearly every major moving average, driving an overall “Buy” technical summary and a “Strong Buy” reading specifically from moving averages. At the same time, faster oscillators like the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI suggest the rally has moved quickly enough to be due for a pause, and the Hull Moving Average's “Sell” signal is a reminder that short-term momentum has already cooled slightly from its recent peak. Whether this bounce becomes a sustained uptrend or proves to be a shorter-term recovery within a longer decline is not yet decided by the indicators covered here, and will likely depend on whether price can clear the resistance levels below.

For anyone following BX stock, the key levels to watch are support near the $126 pivot point and the $117.89 first support level, against resistance at $145.30 and, further out, $163.94. A decisive move through either boundary would likely set the tone for the stock's next major direction. As with any technical analysis, these levels are a framework for understanding probability, not a guarantee of what happens next.

FAQ

Is Blackstone (BX) stock a buy right now based on technical analysis?

The overall daily technical summary reads “Buy,” with moving averages showing a “Strong Buy” signal following the stock's sharp one-month rally. However, oscillators are more mixed and lean neutral, with some short-term indicators suggesting the rally has moved quickly enough to be due for a pause.

What is the current price of BX stock?

BX closed at $143.93, down 3.61% on the day. The stock is down 15.63% over the past year but up 17.62% over the past month.

What is the key support level for BX stock?

The nearest meaningful support sits at the central pivot point of $126.66, with the first pivot support (S1) at $117.89 close to the stock's recent multi-month low. A deeper decline could test $108.02 at S2.

What is the key resistance level for BX stock?

Immediate resistance sits at the R1 pivot level of $136.53, which the stock has recently cleared, with the next hurdle at the R2 level of $145.30. A longer-term resistance target sits at $163.94.

Is BX stock overbought?

Some short-term momentum readings, including the Stochastic %K at 87.11 and Stochastic RSI Fast at 79.83, are in or near overbought territory after the stock's fast one-month rally. The standard 14-day RSI at 63.31 is more moderate, suggesting strong but not extreme momentum.

Does Blackstone pay a dividend?

Yes. Blackstone has an indicated dividend yield of 3.63%, with a most recent dividend payment of $1.29 per share and an ex-dividend date of August 3, 2026.

How does Blackstone's business performance compare to its stock price?

Blackstone's underlying business grew in its most recent fiscal year, with net income up 8.74% to $3.02 billion and revenue up 9.60% to $13.65 billion. This growth contrasts with the stock's 15.63% decline over the past year, though the recent one-month rally has narrowed that gap.

Disclaimer

This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Technical analysis is based on historical price patterns and indicators, which do not guarantee future results. Indicator values, pivot levels, and fundamental figures cited in this article are taken directly from source data as of August 12 to 13, 2026. Chart-level price references (such as prior peaks and troughs) are read from chart gridlines and are approximate rather than exact print values. All figures are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading and investing in stocks carries risk, including the potential loss of principal.

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