Bitcoin Weathers Oil Supply Storm With a Push Toward $70,000

Bitcoin managed to avoid losses suffered by global stock markets over oil supply uncertainty, with a 5% relief bounce from its weekly open level.

Bitcoin (BTC) returned to $69,000 at Monday’s Wall Street open with markets in limbo over the Middle East oil crisis.

Key points:

• Bitcoin sees a rebound after dropping below $68,000 for the weekly close.

• Oil woes continue as the G7 fails to agree on a timeline for the release of reserve oil supplies.

• Bitcoin derivatives traders stay level-headed on the mid-term outlook.

Analysis: Trump wants to buy time with oil

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action continuing a rebound that began just before the weekly close.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Now up 5% on the day, BTC/USD showed strength relative to global stock markets, with Asia particularly sensitive to the ongoing suspension of oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

A dedicated meeting of the G7 countries to discuss the release of 400 million barrels of crude from their joint reserves ended in indecision on the day.

“The G7 countries have ~1.2 billion barrels of crude oil reserves, which is equivalent to ~60 days of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. 400 million barrels can supply roughly 20 days worth of Strait of Hormuz oil flows,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter responded in a post on X. 

Kobeissi argued that US President Donald Trump was “looking to ‘buy’ a couple more weeks” with the initiative.

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

WTI oil was still up 9% on the day at the time of writing, circling $100 per barrel amid considerable volatility.

Gold, meanwhile, lacked the momentum to head closer toward all-time highs after starting the week with a retest of $5,000.

XAU/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Commenting, trading company QCP Capital noted a rotation from gold to the US dollar as a hedge against the current geopolitical uncertainty.

“With uncertainty rising, global equity markets have turned defensive. That said, US Treasuries and gold also failed to provide their usual haven bid, with both coming under pressure as surging crude prices stoke inflation fears and push yields higher,” it wrote in its latest “Market Color” analysis post. 

US dollar index (DXY) one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin options traders see no “one-way decline”

Bitcoin thus eyed key price points that bulls had failed to reclaim at the weekly close.

Related: Bitcoin braces for oil shock and death crosses: 5 things to know this week

Here, crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe hoped that oil would settle down, allowing for BTC price relief.

“Bitcoin continues to show strength and it’s already back up to $69K,” he acknowledged. 

BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

QCP pointed to the “more nuanced outlook” for the market being created by derivatives traders.

“For example, the purchase of 500x BTC 24APR26 72k straddle points to expectations of continued volatility rather than a sharp, one-way decline,” it continued about options. 

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