Crypto Expert Predicts the Bitcoin Price and Warns of a Possible Drop Toward $44K

The Bitcoin price has been moving through a volatile stretch lately. BTC climbed above the $73,000 mark last week before pulling back again, and it’s now trading around the $67,000 range. Moves like this have kept traders debating whether the market is stabilizing or simply pausing before the next bigger trend begins.

One crypto analyst believes the current phase may just be the calm before another leg down.

In a detailed post and accompanying chart, a crypto expert known online as “Doctor Profit” shared his outlook for Bitcoin over the coming months. His analysis combines technical structure, market psychology, and comparisons to the previous bear market cycle.

Bitcoin Could Move Sideways Before the Next Drop

Based on his analysis, the Bitcoin price is currently forming what he calls a “box range” between roughly $57,000 and $87,000. Instead of a clear bullish or bearish trend, he expects the market to spend several weeks moving sideways inside this range.

In his view, this phase is not a sign of strength but part of a broader bear market structure.

The Bitcoin chart he shared shows a similar pattern from the 2022 cycle. During that period, Bitcoin first dropped roughly 52% from its all-time high, then staged a temporary recovery of about 44% from the lows, before eventually falling again to a deeper bottom.

DrProfitCrypto believes the current market could be following the same script.

Source: X/@DrProfitCrypto

Bitcoin has already fallen around 52% from its recent highs, which mirrors the initial drop from the previous bear cycle. Based on that fractal pattern, he expects a relief phase next, where the price trades sideways and possibly pushes higher toward the upper end of the current range.

If that scenario plays out, Bitcoin could see temporary bullish moves within the range, potentially approaching the $80K–$88K area before momentum fades.

But the bigger picture in his analysis remains bearish.

Read also: Bitcoin and Crypto Feel Dead Right Now, But That May Be Exactly What Smart Money Wants

Why the Analyst Thinks a Drop to the $40Ks for the BTC Price Is Still Possible

While the sideways phase may include short-term rallies, the analyst ultimately expects Bitcoin to break lower once the consolidation period ends.

His chart points to a downside target between roughly $44,000 and $50,000, where he believes the next major support could form.

The reasoning is partly technical. Bitcoin is currently trading around a zone that previously acted as long-term consolidation in 2024, when the market spent months moving between roughly $58K and $74K before eventually breaking higher.

In a bullish environment, that range acted as support and accumulation. But in a bear market context, the analyst argues the same area becomes structure that may eventually break.

He also points to market psychology. With the Fear and Greed Index sitting in extreme fear territory, the market may first move higher to take liquidity from traders positioned for further downside before the larger trend resumes.

In simple terms, the analyst believes the market could stage a temporary bounce to trap buyers before continuing lower.

The Trading Strategy Behind the Bitcoin Price Prediction

Despite expecting a deeper drop later, the analyst says he is still trading the current range.

He explained that he has been buying Bitcoin in the $57K–$60K region, aiming to capture percentage gains during the sideways phase. At the same time, he claims to still be holding short positions opened between $115K and $125K from earlier in the cycle.

For him, the key idea is that markets rarely move in straight lines. Even in strong downtrends, there are often powerful counter-trend rallies before the final bottom forms.

He compares the situation to 2022, when Bitcoin fell from $68K to around $33K, then rallied nearly 50% to $48K before eventually collapsing to the cycle low near $16K.

Based on that historical behavior, he believes the real long-term buying opportunity may come much later.

His ultimate bear market target sits below $50,000, potentially somewhere in the low-$40K region, where he expects to start building larger long-term positions for the next cycle.

Until then, the analyst expects what he describes as a “long and boring sideways phase” as Bitcoin trades between major liquidity zones before the market decides its next big direction.

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