The post US LEI-to-CEI Ratio Falls to 0.85, Signaling Recession Risk — Lowest Level Since 2008 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG News reported that KobeissiLetter data shows the ratio of Leading Economic Indicators to Coincident Economic Indicators has fallen to 0.85, the lowest reading since 2008, marking a fourth consecutive year of decline. The LEI aggregates forward-looking signals—from consumer expectations to manufacturing orders—while the CEI tracks current conditions, including payroll data. These macro signals frequently illuminate recession risk, influencing risk assets such as the crypto market and Bitcoin. As liquidity tightens and policy expectations shift, institutional traders may rebalance toward hedges, potentially widening volatility in digital assets even as longer-term fundamentals remain intact. Investors should monitor LEI/CEI dynamics, central-bank commentary, and macro liquidity to gauge potential crypto market responses and adjust allocations accordingly. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/us-lei-to-cei-ratio-falls-to-0-85-signaling-recession-risk-lowest-level-since-2008The post US LEI-to-CEI Ratio Falls to 0.85, Signaling Recession Risk — Lowest Level Since 2008 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG News reported that KobeissiLetter data shows the ratio of Leading Economic Indicators to Coincident Economic Indicators has fallen to 0.85, the lowest reading since 2008, marking a fourth consecutive year of decline. The LEI aggregates forward-looking signals—from consumer expectations to manufacturing orders—while the CEI tracks current conditions, including payroll data. These macro signals frequently illuminate recession risk, influencing risk assets such as the crypto market and Bitcoin. As liquidity tightens and policy expectations shift, institutional traders may rebalance toward hedges, potentially widening volatility in digital assets even as longer-term fundamentals remain intact. Investors should monitor LEI/CEI dynamics, central-bank commentary, and macro liquidity to gauge potential crypto market responses and adjust allocations accordingly. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/us-lei-to-cei-ratio-falls-to-0-85-signaling-recession-risk-lowest-level-since-2008

US LEI-to-CEI Ratio Falls to 0.85, Signaling Recession Risk — Lowest Level Since 2008

2025/12/06 18:00

COINOTAG News reported that KobeissiLetter data shows the ratio of Leading Economic Indicators to Coincident Economic Indicators has fallen to 0.85, the lowest reading since 2008, marking a fourth consecutive year of decline. The LEI aggregates forward-looking signals—from consumer expectations to manufacturing orders—while the CEI tracks current conditions, including payroll data.

These macro signals frequently illuminate recession risk, influencing risk assets such as the crypto market and Bitcoin. As liquidity tightens and policy expectations shift, institutional traders may rebalance toward hedges, potentially widening volatility in digital assets even as longer-term fundamentals remain intact.

Investors should monitor LEI/CEI dynamics, central-bank commentary, and macro liquidity to gauge potential crypto market responses and adjust allocations accordingly.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/us-lei-to-cei-ratio-falls-to-0-85-signaling-recession-risk-lowest-level-since-2008

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For

Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For

The post Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline The Federal Reserve on Wednesday will conclude a two-day policymaking meeting and release a decision on whether to lower interest rates—following months of pressure and criticism from President Donald Trump—and potentially signal whether additional cuts are on the way. President Donald Trump has urged the central bank to “CUT INTEREST RATES, NOW, AND BIGGER” than they might plan to. Getty Images Key Facts The central bank is poised to cut interest rates by at least a quarter-point, down from the 4.25% to 4.5% range where they have been held since December to between 4% and 4.25%, as Wall Street has placed 100% odds of a rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch, with higher odds (94%) on a quarter-point cut than a half-point (6%) reduction. Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees, voted in July for a quarter-point reduction to rates, and they may dissent again in favor of a large cut alongside Stephen Miran, Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers’ chair, who was sworn in at the meeting’s start on Tuesday. It’s unclear whether other policymakers, including Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, will favor larger cuts or opt for no reduction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole, Wyoming, address last month the central bank would likely consider a looser monetary policy, noting the “shifting balance of risks” on the U.S. economy “may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” David Mericle, an economist for Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note the “key question” for the Fed’s meeting is whether policymakers signal “this is likely the first in a series of consecutive cuts” as the central bank is anticipated to “acknowledge the softening in the labor market,” though they may not “nod to an October cut.” Mericle said he…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:23