In recent hours, the price of XRP against USDT is moving in the $2.11–2.12 range, in a phase that remains slightly bearish but with short-term rebound signals.
XRP Price on Daily (D1): Bias Still Bearish, but Selling Slowing Down
The daily chart defines the main direction of the Ripple XRP price.
- D1 Close: $2.11
- Regime: bearish
XRP is quoted practically on the central Bollinger (2.11 $) and slightly below the EMA 20 (2.13 $), with the slower averages (EMA 50 at 2.27 $ and EMA 200 at 2.52 $) well above the price. This indicates that the main trend remains downward, but the selling phase is losing aggressiveness.
Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/200) on D1
- EMA 20: $2.13
- EMA 50: $2.27
- EMA 200: $2.52
Operational comment: the fact that the price is below all three averages confirms that the underlying trend is still negative. However, the distance from the EMA 200 is not extreme. We are in an area where the market could start to build a base if buying volumes come in. As long as XRP remains below $2.27–2.30, any rebound on D1 remains, technically, a pullback within a bearish trend.
RSI Daily (14 periods)
The RSI is slightly below the neutral threshold of 50, but far from oversold. This suggests a weak but not extreme momentum. In practice: sellers no longer dominate as they did a few days ago, but buyers have not yet taken control. It is a typical context of a pause after a decline or a horizontal range.
MACD Daily
- MACD Line: -0.05
- Signal Line: -0.06
- Histogram: +0.01
The MACD is still in negative territory, thus linked to a pre-existing bearish trend, but the histogram has turned slightly positive. This picture is consistent with a phase of loss of bearish momentum and an attempt at a technical rebound. It is not yet a clear reversal signal, rather a market that is slowing down.
Bollinger Bands Daily
- Lower Band: $1.93
- Central Line: $2.11
- Upper Band: $2.28
XRP is stuck to the median band, in a relatively narrow range (width around $0.35 total). This setup indicates contained volatility compared to impulsive trend phases. The price near the central band, after approaching the lower zones, is consistent with an attempt to normalize after a phase of weakness: the market is not yet choosing a strong direction.
ATR Daily (Volatility)
An ATR around $0.10 at these price levels suggests a relatively moderate daily volatility. For those trading the value of XRP in euros or USD, it means that, at the moment, intraday movements tend to remain contained. It is the classic scenario of consolidation after a directional phase.
Pivot Point Daily
- Main Pivot (PP): $2.09
- Resistance R1: $2.14
- Support S1: $2.06
The price oscillates slightly above the daily pivot, within the range $2.09–2.14. Staying above the PP, albeit slightly, suggests a slight prevalence of intraday buyers, but the proximity to S1 indicates that it takes little to reverse the scenario. In practice, a very unstable equilibrium.
H1 Context: Rebound Underway, but Still Within a Weak Structure
Moving to the hourly timeframe, the picture becomes more constructive for the bulls, but remains embedded in a bearish daily.
- H1 Close: $2.12
- Regime: neutral, but with strengthening momentum
Moving Averages on H1
- EMA 20: $2.07
- EMA 50: $2.07
- EMA 200: $2.09
Here the price is above all the main EMAs, with the averages close to each other and below the price ($2.07–2.09). It is typical of a relatively orderly rebound after a lateral or descending phase. The fact that the regime is labeled as neutral is consistent: the medium structure remains uncertain, but in the short term, buyers are in control.
RSI H1
An RSI above 60 indicates a fairly strong intraday bullish momentum. We are not yet in overbought territory, but we are approaching the zones where rebounds often start to lose strength or at least take a pause. For intraday trading on XRP’s performance today, this means that going long now is less comfortable compared to those who bought lower: the risk/reward ratio worsens.
MACD H1
- MACD Line: 0
- Signal Line: 0
- Histogram: 0
A flat MACD, with no gap between line and signal, confirms the idea of a rebound in construction but still poorly structured. The short-term bullish movement comes more from buying pressure on the price than from a trend consolidated over time. It is a cautionary signal for those seeking strong reversals on H1.
Bollinger Bands H1
- Lower Band: $2.04
- Central Line: $2.07
- Upper Band: $2.10
The price at $2.12 has moved beyond the upper H1 band, a classic signal of strong but potentially stretched bullish momentum in the very short term. When the price tends to walk outside the upper band, the trend can continue a bit longer, but statistically, the probability of a pullback towards the median line (2.07 $) increases. Those entering this area tend to do so late.
ATR and Pivot H1
- ATR 14 H1: $0.02
- Pivot PP H1: $2.10
- R1 H1: $2.14
- S1 H1: $2.07
The contained ATR confirms a moderate hourly volatility: cleaner movements but also less room for timing errors. The price above the PP ($2.10) and near R1 ($2.14) indicates a upper part of the intraday range. Those who are long ideally look at $2.14 as the first profit-taking area. Any returns below $2.10–2.07 would signal a weakening of the rebound.
15-Minute Frame: Stretched Bullish Momentum, Risk of a Breather Soon
The 15-minute timeframe is the most operational, useful for those following the XRP quote in real-time with a fast trading perspective.
- 15m Close: $2.12
- Regime: bullish
Moving Averages on 15m
- EMA 20: $2.07
- EMA 50: $2.07
- EMA 200: $2.07
All the averages are aligned almost at the same level and the price is above them. When EMA 20/50/200 converge and the price escapes above, we are often at the beginning or in the middle of a short-term impulsive leg. At the same time, a return below the $2.07 area would be a clear signal that the momentum is running out.
RSI 15m
RSI at 75 brings the short term into overbought territory. This does not automatically mean a reversal, but it indicates that the very short-term bullish movement is very loaded. For those looking at the intraday price tick-by-tick, it is a clear signal that opening new long positions now is statistically riskier, unless aiming for a very short extension with tight stops.
MACD 15m
- MACD Line: 0.01
- Signal Line: 0
- Histogram: positive but contained
MACD slightly positive, aligned with the very short-term bullish trend, but without a large opening between line and signal. It is more the classic intraday jump than a consolidated trend. A couple of more decisive red candles could easily bring it back towards zero.
Bollinger Bands and Pivot 15m
- Lower Band: $2.04
- Central Line: $2.07
- Upper Band: $2.11
- Pivot PP 15m: $2.11
- R1 15m: $2.12
- S1 15m: $2.10
The price at $2.12 is practically on R1 15m and just above the upper band, a mix that often coincides with short-term excess zones. Here the risk of micro-distribution or quick unloading of purchases becomes concrete. A return below $2.11–2.10 on the 15m would be the first warning sign for those who entered long at the top.
Main Scenario and Key Levels: What to Watch on XRP USD/USDT
The multi-timeframe picture is quite clear.
- D1: underlying trend still bearish but with evident signs of cooling selling pressure.
- H1: neutral-bullish phase, orderly rebound above the averages.
- 15m: stretched bullish momentum, RSI in overbought and price on intraday resistances.
This combination of factors should be read as follows: the dominant trend remains fragile, but the market is trying to build a temporary floor. There is still no confirmation of a daily reversal. Consequently, those operating on higher timeframes tend to see these rises as selling or position reduction opportunities until certain thresholds are broken.
Plausible Bullish Scenario (Rebound Structuring)
To talk about a credible bullish scenario on Ripple’s price, some key steps are needed.
- Holding above $2.09–2.10 (daily/H1 pivot) as a new support base.
- Stable H1 and then D1 closes above $2.14 (daily R1 and intraday resistance).
- Subsequent attack on the $2.27–2.30 zone, where the EMA 50 daily passes.
If the price manages to consolidate above $2.14 and close one or more days near or above $2.27, the market would send a clear signal: the medium-term bearish phase is ending, and the door opens to a rise towards the $2.40–2.50 area (where the EMA 200 D1 passes). In EUR terms, this would correspond to a significant recovery in the value of XRP in euros compared to recent weeks.
Level of invalidation of the bullish scenario: a decline with repeated hourly closes below $2.06–2.07 (S1 D1 and H1/15m average range), especially if accompanied by RSI returning below 50 on H1, would cast doubt on the rebound’s solidity. A return below $2.00–1.98 would bring the daily back into active bearish pressure.
Plausible Bearish Scenario (Distribution Rebound)
The other possible reading is that the current movement is a simple unloading rebound within a bearish trend. In this case, the current or slightly higher areas would be exploited for selling.
Operationally, the bearish scenario would gain strength if:
- XRP repeatedly fails to break $2.14 and starts creating lower highs on H1.
- The price breaks below $2.06–2.07 with increased volatility (expanding ATR) and RSI H1 steadily falling below 50.
- On D1, a clear rejection candle forms above the central Bollinger band, with a close towards the lower part of the daily range.
In that context, the natural technical targets would be the $1.98–1.93 area, i.e., the zone between lower supports and the lower Bollinger band daily. A stable return to that area would reactivate the narrative of a bearish trend in full control.
Level of invalidation of the bearish scenario: a convincing and sustained break above $2.27–2.30 (EMA 50 D1), with daily RSI returning steadily above 55–60, would be read as a structural weakening of the sellers’ front. In that case, maintaining a primarily bearish scenario would make less and less sense.
How to Read the Current Context if You Trade XRP
The central message is that the XRP price today is in a transition zone: the daily is no longer in panic sell mode, but it has not yet managed to turn into a bullish trend. The lower timeframes show a real rebound, but already stretched in the very short term, especially on 15m.
For a trader, this translates into:
- Those thinking in a multi-day perspective: are probably observing this rebound with some skepticism. As long as D1 remains below EMA 50 and RSI does not decisively exceed 50–55, the risk that it is just a pullback remains high.
- Those working intraday: have had good long opportunities from the $2.06–2.07 area, but at these levels, they must start managing the risk of a pullback. Entering the market now, with RSI 15m in overbought and price above the bands, requires very disciplined stops.
The context is ideal for false signals: a breakout above $2.14 could also quickly fail and turn into a bull trap, just as a momentary break below $2.07 could be just a stop hunt within a broader range. In other words, it is not a market in which to increase size too much; it is more an environment for prudent risk management, with attention to levels and coherence between timeframes.
For those following the XRP chart in both USD and euros, the focus in the coming sessions will be to understand if this rebound will manage to turn into something more solid or if it will remain a simple breather within a framework still dominated by sellers.
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Disclaimer: The information in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an invitation to invest, or a solicitation of public savings. Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Carefully consider your objectives, experience, and risk tolerance before trading in the markets.
Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/12/09/xrp-price-today-fragile-consolidation-phase-below-key-averages/
