MetaMask Polymarket Brings Mobile Prediction Markets

MetaMask adds native prediction markets to its mobile wallet

Millions of crypto users will now be able to access metamask polymarket tools directly inside their wallet, as the prediction platform goes live on MetaMask Mobile.

The team behind MetaMask, one of the most widely used crypto wallets, confirmed that it has integrated the Polymarket prediction platform into its mobile application. The feature, branded as MetaMask Prediction Markets, went live on December 4, 2025, according to the latest announcement shared on X.

In the post, the company wrote that MetaMask Prediction Markets are now live and described them as the fastest and easiest way to make onchain predictions, powered by Polymarket and built natively into MetaMask Mobile. Moreover, users are encouraged to “trade the world’s biggest questions” on the go, without leaving the wallet they already trust.

With this move, MetaMask is expanding from a simple self-custodial wallet into a more comprehensive trading interface. However, instead of adding traditional spot or derivatives products, it is focusing on event-based prediction markets, letting users speculate on outcomes ranging from elections to sports.

How MetaMask Prediction Markets work inside the app

According to the detailed explanation shared with users, the primary goal of the new integration is to make on-chain forecasting as simple as possible. Once the MetaMask application is updated, traders can tap a new “Predict” tab, which presents a list of live markets with straightforward “yes” or “no” questions on topics spanning politics, macroeconomics, and pop culture.

To participate, users first fund their wallet with USDC stablecoins, which can be swapped within the app from other supported assets. They then buy shares in the outcome they believe will occur. Each share carries a price that reflects the crowd’s implied probability, turning sentiment into a numerical forecast and allowing users to express their views with capital.

The integration between MetaMask and Polymarket is designed so that traders can speculate on real-world events without ever leaving the self-custodial wallet interface. That said, the underlying infrastructure and markets remain powered by Polymarket, while MetaMask Mobile provides the familiar front-end experience.

For many users, this effectively turns their everyday wallet into a prediction terminal, available in just a few seconds. The combination of a large user base and easy access could significantly broaden participation in onchain prediction markets beyond crypto-native traders.

Polymarket’s U.S. return and regulatory approvals

The launch of the new prediction experience coincides with Polymarket’s renewed push into the U.S. market after a long regulatory process. Earlier in 2025, the platform secured a crucial approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), enabling it to legally offer certain markets to American customers under clear rules.

This authorization, often described as a green light from the CFTC, marked a turning point for Polymarket’s operations. Moreover, the company has since obtained amended approval from the same regulator, further defining the scope of markets it can run for U.S.-based users. This regulatory clarity underpins the broader polymarket us launch narrative that has unfolded throughout the year.

The timing of the MetaMask integration is notable because it arrives just as Polymarket is experiencing rapid growth. In November, the platform’s monthly trading volume surged past $3 billion, underscoring increasingly deep liquidity and rising interest in prediction-based trading from a wide range of participants.

Polymarket’s reputation was further boosted during the 2024 U.S. elections, when its markets were credited with accurately capturing the evolving odds of key races. In several cases, they were seen as more responsive than traditional polls. As a result, many traders now look to these markets for near real-time probability signals.

Funding, valuation and MetaMask’s user base

The credibility Polymarket gained from past events has translated into significant institutional backing. In September 2025, the company raised a massive $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. This funding round valued Polymarket at approximately $9 billion, placing it among the more highly valued players in the emerging prediction market sector.

Such backing provides the resources to expand infrastructure, liquidity programs, and regulatory compliance. Moreover, with MetaMask as a new distribution channel, this capital can now support onboarding of an even broader audience, potentially including users who have never previously interacted with Polymarket directly.

On the other side of the partnership, MetaMask brings scale. The wallet provider reported approximately 143 million users globally in 2025, with around 30 million Monthly Active Users (MAUs). If even a small fraction of this base starts experimenting with event markets, daily activity and volumes could increase substantially for both partners.

For these users, the new feature offers a way to take positions on newsworthy events from the same interface they use to store tokens and access decentralized applications. However, the experience is carefully framed as trading and forecasting, not as guaranteed income, reflecting the speculative nature of the markets.

Growing credibility of Polymarket’s forecasts

Beyond the MetaMask integration, Polymarket is securing visibility through mainstream technology platforms. In November 2025, Google began rolling out polymarket google integration by incorporating the platform’s real-time odds into its Search and Finance products for eligible users in permitted jurisdictions.

Now, when someone searches questions such as “Will there be a U.S. recession in 2025?”, Google can surface live probability data based on active Polymarket markets alongside standard search results. This gives users a snapshot of how traders, who have capital at risk, collectively assess the likelihood of different scenarios.

The rationale behind this move lies in academic research on the “wisdom of the crowd.” Studies have long suggested that markets where people risk real money can often forecast outcomes more accurately than traditional opinion surveys. That said, these probabilities are still estimates, not certainties, and can change quickly as new information emerges.

Access limits, regional restrictions and compliance

Despite the enthusiasm, access to Polymarket’s data and trading functionality is not universal. Local regulations still shape who can interact with these markets, whether through Google surfaces or the MetaMask interface. However, the platform has built location-based controls to comply with national and regional requirements.

Users located in the United Kingdom, France, Singapore, and several other jurisdictions remain blocked from trading on Polymarket due to regulatory constraints. For people in the United States, access is available only via the platform’s licensed environment, which includes mandatory identity verification and other compliance checks designed to meet CFTC standards.

Coplan has said that the long-term goal is to create a market on any topic that matters. “If something is being discussed in the news, if something is of importance, whether it’s geopolitically, you know, macroeconomically, culturally, we want to have a Polymarket for it,” he explained, underscoring the ambition to cover a broad spectrum of events.

Within this framework, the metamask polymarket integration could serve as a powerful funnel for new users who want to explore event-based trading with predictions with usdc in a familiar wallet environment. Moreover, by combining self-custody, mobile accessibility, and regulated market access, the partnership highlights how crypto-native tools are evolving into mainstream financial interfaces.

MetaMask’s move to embed Polymarket directly into its mobile app reflects the growing convergence between wallets and specialized trading platforms. As regulatory approvals, like cftc approval polymarket, continue to shape the industry, this alliance positions both companies to capitalize on rising demand for data-driven, real-money forecasts on global events.

Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/12/04/metamask-polymarket-mobile-prediction/